Scouting Report
These two are closely matched in overall FO% (55.0% vs 55.1%). Look for Jenner on defensive-zone draws (100% H2H, 3 meetings). Matthews wins 55.5% vs left-shot opponents — Jenner shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Matthews 54.5% vs Jenner 54.7% (-0.1%)
H2H factor
Not applied (6 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Matthews 68.9%
Defensive zone
Jenner 75.9%
Neutral zone
Jenner 54.6%
Result
Boone Jenner favored at 53.5%
46.5%
53.5%
Matthews
Jenner
Head-to-Head Record
2
-
4
(6 meetings)
2
4
Matthews
Jenner
Last 6: Matthews 2-4 Jenner
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Matthews
2
1
Matthews
Jenner
3 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Jenner
0
3
Matthews
Jenner
3 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Matthews
Jenner
Edge
Even Strength
55.1% (856)
57.3% (861)
-2.2%
Power Play
54.3% (46)
52.6% (135)
+1.7%
Penalty Kill
50.0% (18)
46.5% (170)
+3.5%
On penalty kill, Matthews has a +3.5% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Jenner shoots left. Matthews is 55.5% vs left-shot opponents (578).
Matthews shoots left. Jenner is 55.2% vs left-shot opponents (757).
Home / Away
Matthews
Jenner
Home
57.0% (440)
54.8% (586)
Away
53.1% (480)
55.5% (580)
By Period
Matthews
Jenner
P1
54.0%
57.3%
P2
55.1%
52.5%
P3
56.4%
55.9%
OT
42.9%
54.5%
Final 5 min
51.7%
53.2%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Matthews
70.0%▲
64.0%
55.0%
Jenner
52.0%▲
49.0%
55.1%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 21, 2019 | 2 | 15:27 | Offensive | Auston Matthews |
| Oct 21, 2019 | 2 | 04:34 | Defensive | Boone Jenner |
| Oct 4, 2019 | 2 | 10:22 | Offensive | Auston Matthews |
| Oct 4, 2019 | 1 | 16:38 | Defensive | Boone Jenner |
| Oct 4, 2019 | 1 | 06:25 | Offensive | Boone Jenner |
| Oct 4, 2019 | 1 | 03:52 | Defensive | Boone Jenner |