Scouting Report
Boone Jenner holds a +3.5% FO% edge overall.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Jenner 50.8% vs McDavid 47.9% (+3.5%)
Offensive zone
Jenner 50.2%
Defensive zone
McDavid 51.6%
Neutral zone
McDavid 53.6%
Result
Connor McDavid favored at 51.6%
48.4%
51.6%
Jenner
McDavid
No head-to-head faceoffs recorded
Situation Matchup
Situation
Jenner
McDavid
Edge
Even Strength
50.3% (163)
47.7% (715)
+2.6%
Power Play
52.0% (25)
51.9% (52)
+0.1%
Penalty Kill
58.8% (17)
22.2% (9)
+36.6%
On penalty kill, Jenner has a +36.6% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
McDavid shoots left. Jenner is 49.4% vs left-shot opponents (89).
Jenner shoots left. McDavid is 46.0% vs left-shot opponents (494).
Home / Away
Jenner
McDavid
Home
45.7% (81)
47.3% (387)
Away
54.8% (124)
48.1% (389)
By Period
Jenner
McDavid
P1
46.6%
47.6%
P2
58.3%
50.0%
P3
50.0%
45.0%
Final 5 min
43.4%
46.8%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Jenner
52.0%▲
49.0%
51.2%
McDavid
50.0%▬
50.0%
47.7%