Scouting Report
Boone Jenner holds a +2.6% FO% edge overall.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Jenner 50.1% vs McDavid 47.9% (+2.6%)
Offensive zone
McDavid 50.2%
Defensive zone
Jenner 50.4%
Neutral zone
McDavid 50.8%
Result
Connor McDavid favored at 50.2%
49.8%
50.2%
Jenner
McDavid
No head-to-head faceoffs recorded
Situation Matchup
Situation
Jenner
McDavid
Edge
Even Strength
49.8% (227)
47.5% (650)
+2.3%
Power Play
52.2% (23)
48.6% (72)
+3.6%
Penalty Kill
52.9% (17)
46.5% (43)
+6.4%
On penalty kill, Jenner has a +6.4% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
McDavid shoots left. Jenner is 52.7% vs left-shot opponents (186).
Jenner shoots left. McDavid is 45.3% vs left-shot opponents (554).
Home / Away
Jenner
McDavid
Home
51.0% (143)
50.2% (400)
Away
49.2% (124)
44.7% (365)
By Period
Jenner
McDavid
P1
51.7%
47.5%
P2
40.5%
48.6%
P3
57.3%
46.7%
Final 5 min
52.1%
51.3%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Jenner
52.0%▲
49.0%
50.2%
McDavid
50.0%▬
50.0%
47.6%