Scouting Report
Boone Jenner holds a +18.2% FO% edge overall. Look for Jenner on defensive-zone draws (100% H2H, 5 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Jenner 53.3% vs Mercer 37.5% (+18.2%)
H2H factor
Not applied (8 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Jenner 85.0%
Defensive zone
Jenner 95.5%
Neutral zone
Jenner 92.2%
Result
Boone Jenner favored at 93.4%
93.4%
6.6%
Jenner
Mercer
Head-to-Head Record
6
-
2
(8 meetings)
6
2
Jenner
Mercer
Last 8: Jenner 6-2 Mercer
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Mercer
0
1
Jenner
Mercer
1 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Jenner
5
0
Jenner
Mercer
5 total
Neutral Zone
Even
1
1
Jenner
Mercer
2 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Jenner
Mercer
Edge
Even Strength
54.1% (851)
35.4% (548)
+18.7%
Power Play
54.0% (202)
42.9% (35)
+11.1%
Penalty Kill
50.3% (145)
0.0% (7)
+50.3%
On penalty kill, Jenner has a +50.3% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Mercer shoots right. Jenner is 51.4% vs right-shot opponents (479).
Jenner shoots left. Mercer is 34.6% vs left-shot opponents (407).
Home / Away
Jenner
Mercer
Home
53.2% (609)
39.9% (283)
Away
54.0% (589)
31.3% (307)
By Period
Jenner
Mercer
P1
49.7%
37.7%
P2
53.6%
32.1%
P3
56.5%
37.7%
OT
65.2%
0.0%
Final 5 min
52.2%
33.3%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Jenner
52.0%▲
49.0%
53.6%
Mercer
34.0%▼
36.5%
35.4%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 1, 2022 | 2 | 07:22 | Neutral | Boone Jenner |
| Mar 1, 2022 | 1 | 10:04 | Defensive | Boone Jenner |
| Jan 8, 2022 | 2 | 04:23 | Offensive | Dawson Mercer |
| Jan 6, 2022 | 3 | 16:30 | Defensive | Boone Jenner |
| Jan 6, 2022 | 2 | 11:41 | Neutral | Dawson Mercer |
| Jan 6, 2022 | 1 | 14:20 | Defensive | Boone Jenner |
| Oct 31, 2021 | OT | 01:53 | Defensive | Boone Jenner |
| Oct 31, 2021 | 3 | 15:02 | Defensive | Boone Jenner |