Scouting Report
Boone Jenner holds a +11.2% FO% edge overall. Jenner wins 44.4% vs right-shot opponents — Mercer shoots right.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Jenner 50.1% vs Mercer 41.8% (+11.2%)
H2H factor
Not applied (1 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Jenner 67.5%
Defensive zone
Jenner 75.5%
Neutral zone
Jenner 67.3%
Result
Boone Jenner favored at 67.5%
67.5%
32.5%
Jenner
Mercer
Head-to-Head Record
1
-
0
(1 meetings)
1
0
Jenner
Mercer
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Jenner
1
0
Jenner
Mercer
1 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Jenner
Mercer
Edge
Even Strength
49.8% (227)
38.8% (263)
+11.0%
Power Play
52.2% (23)
35.3% (17)
+16.9%
Penalty Kill
52.9% (17)
50.0% (10)
+2.9%
On power play, Jenner has a +16.9% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Mercer shoots right. Jenner is 44.4% vs right-shot opponents (81).
Jenner shoots left. Mercer is 36.3% vs left-shot opponents (190).
Home / Away
Jenner
Mercer
Home
51.0% (143)
34.7% (144)
Away
49.2% (124)
43.2% (146)
By Period
Jenner
Mercer
P1
51.7%
32.7%
P2
40.5%
42.7%
P3
57.3%
42.2%
Final 5 min
52.1%
39.2%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Jenner
52.0%▲
49.0%
50.2%
Mercer
34.0%▼
36.5%
39.0%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Feb 3, 2026 | 1 | 01:37 | Offensive | Boone Jenner |