Scouting Report
Boone Jenner holds a +10.7% FO% edge overall.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Jenner 50.8% vs Mercer 43.3% (+10.7%)
H2H factor
Not applied (3 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Jenner 90.5%
Defensive zone
Jenner 91.5%
Neutral zone
Jenner 74.5%
Result
Boone Jenner favored at 85.2%
85.2%
14.8%
Jenner
Mercer
Head-to-Head Record
3
-
0
(3 meetings)
3
0
Jenner
Mercer
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Jenner
2
0
Jenner
Mercer
2 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Jenner
1
0
Jenner
Mercer
1 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Jenner
Mercer
Edge
Even Strength
50.3% (163)
41.0% (212)
+9.3%
Power Play
52.0% (25)
35.7% (14)
+16.3%
Penalty Kill
58.8% (17)
36.4% (11)
+22.4%
On penalty kill, Jenner has a +22.4% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Mercer shoots right. Jenner is 52.6% vs right-shot opponents (116).
Jenner shoots left. Mercer is 40.2% vs left-shot opponents (179).
Home / Away
Jenner
Mercer
Home
45.7% (81)
45.2% (126)
Away
54.8% (124)
35.1% (111)
By Period
Jenner
Mercer
P1
46.6%
34.5%
P2
58.3%
43.4%
P3
50.0%
45.8%
OT
0.0%
0.0%
Final 5 min
43.4%
47.9%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Jenner
52.0%▲
49.0%
51.2%
Mercer
34.0%▼
36.5%
40.5%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 17, 2025 | 3 | 01:11 | Offensive | Boone Jenner |
| Mar 11, 2025 | 3 | 10:29 | Neutral | Boone Jenner |
| Mar 11, 2025 | 2 | 07:53 | Offensive | Boone Jenner |