Scouting Report
Boone Jenner holds a +14.7% FO% edge overall. Look for Jenner on defensive-zone draws (78% H2H, 9 meetings). Jenner wins 53.7% vs right-shot opponents — Mercer shoots right.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Jenner 53.9% vs Mercer 39.9% (+14.7%)
H2H factor
Jenner leads 13-11 in 24 meetings
Offensive zone
Jenner 61.9%
Defensive zone
Jenner 87.4%
Neutral zone
Jenner 73.7%
Result
Boone Jenner favored at 73.5%
73.5%
26.5%
Jenner
Mercer
Head-to-Head Record
13
-
11
(24 meetings)
13
11
Jenner
Mercer
Last 10: Jenner 5-5 Mercer
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Mercer
4
7
Jenner
Mercer
11 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Jenner
7
2
Jenner
Mercer
9 total
Neutral Zone
Even
2
2
Jenner
Mercer
4 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Jenner
Mercer
Edge
Even Strength
54.5% (6,190)
39.1% (1,412)
+15.4%
Power Play
55.8% (1,147)
41.1% (90)
+14.7%
Penalty Kill
48.4% (998)
40.0% (45)
+8.4%
On even strength, Jenner has a +15.4% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Mercer shoots right. Jenner is 53.7% vs right-shot opponents (3,155).
Jenner shoots left. Mercer is 39.0% vs left-shot opponents (1,099).
Home / Away
Jenner
Mercer
Home
54.5% (4,051)
40.0% (755)
Away
53.4% (4,284)
38.5% (792)
By Period
Jenner
Mercer
P1
53.7%
38.2%
P2
53.5%
39.2%
P3
54.4%
41.1%
OT
54.5%
0.0%
Final 5 min
52.2%
39.6%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Jenner
52.0%▲
49.0%
53.9%
Mercer
34.0%▼
36.5%
39.2%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Feb 3, 2026 | 1 | 01:37 | Offensive | Boone Jenner |
| Mar 17, 2025 | 3 | 01:11 | Offensive | Boone Jenner |
| Mar 11, 2025 | 3 | 10:29 | Neutral | Boone Jenner |
| Mar 11, 2025 | 2 | 07:53 | Offensive | Boone Jenner |
| Jan 19, 2024 | 2 | 07:11 | Defensive | Dawson Mercer |
| Jan 19, 2024 | 2 | 03:09 | Offensive | Dawson Mercer |
| Jan 19, 2024 | 1 | 19:10 | Offensive | Dawson Mercer |
| Jan 19, 2024 | 1 | 06:27 | Offensive | Dawson Mercer |
| Nov 24, 2023 | 3 | 05:36 | Offensive | Dawson Mercer |
| Nov 24, 2023 | 1 | 19:35 | Defensive | Boone Jenner |
| Oct 30, 2022 | 3 | 12:47 | Neutral | Dawson Mercer |
| Oct 30, 2022 | 3 | 08:35 | Defensive | Dawson Mercer |
| Oct 30, 2022 | 3 | 08:21 | Offensive | Boone Jenner |
| Oct 30, 2022 | 3 | 04:35 | Offensive | Dawson Mercer |
| Oct 30, 2022 | 3 | 04:28 | Defensive | Boone Jenner |
| Oct 30, 2022 | 1 | 14:13 | Offensive | Dawson Mercer |
| Mar 1, 2022 | 2 | 07:22 | Neutral | Boone Jenner |
| Mar 1, 2022 | 1 | 10:04 | Defensive | Boone Jenner |
| Jan 8, 2022 | 2 | 04:23 | Offensive | Dawson Mercer |
| Jan 6, 2022 | 3 | 16:30 | Defensive | Boone Jenner |