Scouting Report
Jordan Staal holds a +3.4% FO% edge overall. Jenner wins 54.5% vs left-shot opponents — Staal shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Jenner 51.1% vs Staal 54.7% (-3.4%)
H2H factor
Not applied (1 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Jenner 51.9%
Defensive zone
Staal 73.9%
Neutral zone
Staal 54.8%
Result
Jordan Staal favored at 73.9%
26.1%
73.9%
Jenner
Staal
Head-to-Head Record
1
-
0
(1 meetings)
1
0
Jenner
Staal
Zone Breakdown
Defensive Zone
Edge: Jenner
1
0
Jenner
Staal
1 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Jenner
Staal
Edge
Even Strength
51.1% (219)
56.2% (939)
-5.1%
Power Play
52.2% (23)
66.9% (139)
-14.7%
Penalty Kill
56.3% (16)
43.5% (239)
+12.8%
On power play, Staal has a +14.7% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Staal shoots left. Jenner is 54.5% vs left-shot opponents (178).
Jenner shoots left. Staal is 50.8% vs left-shot opponents (922).
Home / Away
Jenner
Staal
Home
51.0% (143)
55.4% (663)
Away
52.2% (115)
54.7% (654)
By Period
Jenner
Staal
P1
53.6%
54.9%
P2
43.0%
55.1%
P3
56.8%
54.0%
Final 5 min
52.8%
57.3%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Jenner
58.0%▲
49.5%
51.6%
Staal
50.0%▼
52.5%
55.0%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 17, 2026 | 3 | 11:23 | Defensive | Boone Jenner |