Scouting Report
Jordan Staal holds a +3.7% FO% edge overall. Look for Jenner on defensive-zone draws (67% H2H, 3 meetings). Jenner wins 55.1% vs left-shot opponents — Staal shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Jenner 53.3% vs Staal 56.8% (-3.7%)
H2H factor
Jenner leads 8-6 in 14 meetings
Offensive zone
Staal 53.2%
Defensive zone
Staal 59.3%
Neutral zone
Staal 54.7%
Result
Jordan Staal favored at 55.0%
45.0%
55.0%
Jenner
Staal
Head-to-Head Record
8
-
6
(14 meetings)
8
6
Jenner
Staal
Last 10: Jenner 6-4 Staal
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Even
3
3
Jenner
Staal
6 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Jenner
2
1
Jenner
Staal
3 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Jenner
3
2
Jenner
Staal
5 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Jenner
Staal
Edge
Even Strength
54.1% (851)
58.9% (1,041)
-4.8%
Power Play
54.0% (202)
53.4% (73)
+0.6%
Penalty Kill
50.3% (145)
49.1% (171)
+1.2%
On even strength, Staal has a +4.8% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Staal shoots left. Jenner is 55.1% vs left-shot opponents (719).
Jenner shoots left. Staal is 56.3% vs left-shot opponents (828).
Home / Away
Jenner
Staal
Home
53.2% (609)
59.0% (578)
Away
54.0% (589)
55.9% (707)
By Period
Jenner
Staal
P1
49.7%
57.1%
P2
53.6%
60.9%
P3
56.5%
55.8%
OT
65.2%
20.8%
Final 5 min
52.2%
60.5%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Jenner
52.0%▲
49.0%
53.6%
Staal
46.0%▼
51.0%
57.3%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Feb 25, 2022 | 3 | 14:07 | Defensive | Jordan Staal |
| Feb 25, 2022 | 3 | 06:14 | Offensive | Boone Jenner |
| Feb 25, 2022 | 3 | 02:27 | Defensive | Boone Jenner |
| Feb 25, 2022 | 2 | 00:00 | Neutral | Boone Jenner |
| Feb 25, 2022 | 1 | 11:39 | Defensive | Boone Jenner |
| Feb 25, 2022 | 1 | 01:24 | Offensive | Jordan Staal |
| Feb 25, 2022 | 1 | 00:23 | Neutral | Boone Jenner |
| Jan 13, 2022 | 2 | 00:00 | Neutral | Jordan Staal |
| Jan 1, 2022 | 3 | 10:50 | Neutral | Jordan Staal |
| Jan 1, 2022 | 1 | 19:00 | Offensive | Boone Jenner |
| Jan 1, 2022 | 1 | 13:06 | Offensive | Jordan Staal |
| Oct 23, 2021 | 3 | 16:33 | Offensive | Jordan Staal |
| Oct 23, 2021 | 3 | 16:13 | Neutral | Boone Jenner |
| Oct 23, 2021 | 2 | 07:08 | Offensive | Boone Jenner |