Scouting Report
Jordan Staal holds a +1.0% FO% edge overall. Look for Jenner on neutral-zone draws (60% H2H, 5 meetings). Jenner wins 55.1% vs left-shot opponents — Staal shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Jenner 54.4% vs Staal 55.3% (-1.0%)
H2H factor
Not applied (8 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Jenner 57.8%
Defensive zone
Staal 67.2%
Neutral zone
Staal 50.1%
Result
Jordan Staal favored at 53.4%
46.6%
53.4%
Jenner
Staal
Head-to-Head Record
6
-
2
(8 meetings)
6
2
Jenner
Staal
Last 8: Jenner 6-2 Staal
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Jenner
1
0
Jenner
Staal
1 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Jenner
2
0
Jenner
Staal
2 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Jenner
3
2
Jenner
Staal
5 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Jenner
Staal
Edge
Even Strength
54.2% (999)
56.3% (1,115)
-2.1%
Power Play
60.0% (240)
61.2% (67)
-1.2%
Penalty Kill
49.7% (147)
52.1% (292)
-2.4%
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Staal shoots left. Jenner is 55.1% vs left-shot opponents (884).
Jenner shoots left. Staal is 53.2% vs left-shot opponents (946).
Home / Away
Jenner
Staal
Home
56.7% (693)
58.3% (705)
Away
52.7% (693)
53.3% (769)
By Period
Jenner
Staal
P1
57.1%
54.5%
P2
54.1%
58.2%
P3
53.0%
54.1%
OT
61.9%
60.0%
Final 5 min
51.9%
54.9%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Jenner
52.0%▲
49.0%
54.7%
Staal
46.0%▼
51.0%
55.7%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 12, 2022 | 3 | 13:09 | Offensive | Boone Jenner |
| Oct 12, 2022 | 2 | 17:15 | Defensive | Boone Jenner |
| Oct 12, 2022 | 2 | 12:33 | Neutral | Boone Jenner |
| Oct 12, 2022 | 2 | 03:58 | Neutral | Jordan Staal |
| Oct 12, 2022 | 2 | 00:11 | Neutral | Boone Jenner |
| Oct 12, 2022 | 2 | 00:00 | Neutral | Jordan Staal |
| Oct 12, 2022 | 1 | 05:03 | Defensive | Boone Jenner |
| Oct 12, 2022 | 1 | 00:00 | Neutral | Boone Jenner |