Scouting Report
Jordan Staal holds a +4.7% FO% edge overall.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Jenner 50.1% vs Staal 54.6% (-4.7%)
H2H factor
Not applied (1 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Staal 50.6%
Defensive zone
Staal 75.7%
Neutral zone
Staal 58.1%
Result
Jordan Staal favored at 75.7%
24.3%
75.7%
Jenner
Staal
Head-to-Head Record
1
-
0
(1 meetings)
1
0
Jenner
Staal
Zone Breakdown
Defensive Zone
Edge: Jenner
1
0
Jenner
Staal
1 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Jenner
Staal
Edge
Even Strength
49.8% (227)
56.1% (955)
-6.3%
Power Play
52.2% (23)
66.9% (142)
-14.7%
Penalty Kill
52.9% (17)
43.0% (242)
+9.9%
On power play, Staal has a +14.7% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Staal shoots left. Jenner is 52.7% vs left-shot opponents (186).
Jenner shoots left. Staal is 50.4% vs left-shot opponents (938).
Home / Away
Jenner
Staal
Home
51.0% (143)
55.4% (663)
Away
49.2% (124)
54.4% (676)
By Period
Jenner
Staal
P1
51.7%
55.1%
P2
40.5%
54.7%
P3
57.3%
53.9%
Final 5 min
52.1%
57.2%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Jenner
52.0%▲
49.0%
50.2%
Staal
46.0%▼
51.0%
54.9%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 17, 2026 | 3 | 11:23 | Defensive | Boone Jenner |