Scouting Report
Jordan Staal holds a +1.4% FO% edge overall. Look for Staal on offensive-zone draws (62% H2H, 39 meetings). Jenner wins 54.1% vs left-shot opponents — Staal shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Jenner 53.9% vs Staal 55.3% (-1.4%)
H2H factor
Jenner leads 58-55 in 113 meetings
Offensive zone
Staal 54.6%
Defensive zone
Staal 59.1%
Neutral zone
Staal 55.8%
Result
Jordan Staal favored at 56.2%
43.8%
56.2%
Jenner
Staal
Head-to-Head Record
58
-
55
(113 meetings)
58
55
Jenner
Staal
Last 10: Jenner 3-7 Staal
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Staal
15
24
Jenner
Staal
39 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Jenner
16
12
Jenner
Staal
28 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Jenner
27
19
Jenner
Staal
46 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Jenner
Staal
Edge
Even Strength
54.5% (6,190)
55.9% (14,620)
-1.4%
Power Play
55.8% (1,147)
62.7% (1,745)
-6.9%
Penalty Kill
48.4% (998)
48.0% (2,896)
+0.4%
On power play, Staal has a +6.9% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Staal shoots left. Jenner is 54.1% vs left-shot opponents (5,180).
Jenner shoots left. Staal is 53.6% vs left-shot opponents (12,773).
Home / Away
Jenner
Staal
Home
54.5% (4,051)
56.4% (9,663)
Away
53.4% (4,284)
54.3% (9,663)
By Period
Jenner
Staal
P1
53.7%
55.2%
P2
53.5%
55.9%
P3
54.4%
54.9%
OT
54.5%
56.2%
Final 5 min
52.2%
56.1%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Jenner
52.0%▲
49.0%
53.9%
Staal
46.0%▼
51.0%
55.3%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 17, 2026 | 3 | 11:23 | Defensive | Boone Jenner |
| Feb 29, 2024 | 3 | 07:54 | Defensive | Jordan Staal |
| Feb 29, 2024 | 3 | 07:50 | Defensive | Jordan Staal |
| Feb 29, 2024 | 3 | 07:32 | Defensive | Jordan Staal |
| Feb 29, 2024 | 3 | 03:40 | Offensive | Boone Jenner |
| Feb 29, 2024 | 2 | 14:22 | Offensive | Boone Jenner |
| Nov 26, 2023 | 3 | 18:05 | Neutral | Jordan Staal |
| Nov 26, 2023 | 3 | 16:18 | Offensive | Jordan Staal |
| Nov 26, 2023 | 3 | 10:01 | Neutral | Jordan Staal |
| Nov 26, 2023 | 3 | 07:00 | Defensive | Jordan Staal |
| Nov 26, 2023 | 3 | 06:41 | Neutral | Boone Jenner |
| Nov 26, 2023 | 3 | 00:13 | Neutral | Jordan Staal |
| Nov 26, 2023 | 3 | 00:00 | Neutral | Boone Jenner |
| Nov 26, 2023 | 2 | 19:14 | Defensive | Boone Jenner |
| Nov 26, 2023 | 2 | 18:53 | Defensive | Jordan Staal |
| Nov 26, 2023 | 2 | 00:06 | Offensive | Jordan Staal |
| Nov 26, 2023 | 2 | 00:00 | Neutral | Boone Jenner |
| Nov 26, 2023 | 1 | 07:53 | Neutral | Boone Jenner |
| Nov 26, 2023 | 1 | 07:48 | Neutral | Boone Jenner |
| Nov 26, 2023 | 1 | 04:18 | Neutral | Jordan Staal |