Scouting Report
Jordan Staal holds a +3.8% FO% edge overall. Look for Staal on defensive-zone draws (83% H2H, 6 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Jenner 53.9% vs Staal 57.6% (-3.8%)
H2H factor
Staal leads 12-9 in 21 meetings
Offensive zone
Jenner 75.2%
Defensive zone
Staal 55.1%
Neutral zone
Jenner 54.5%
Result
Boone Jenner favored at 56.7%
56.7%
43.3%
Jenner
Staal
Head-to-Head Record
9
-
12
(21 meetings)
9
12
Jenner
Staal
Last 10: Jenner 3-7 Staal
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Staal
2
3
Jenner
Staal
5 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Staal
1
5
Jenner
Staal
6 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Jenner
6
4
Jenner
Staal
10 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Jenner
Staal
Edge
Even Strength
54.5% (775)
58.9% (1,096)
-4.4%
Power Play
59.1% (198)
68.4% (57)
-9.3%
Penalty Kill
46.4% (140)
51.8% (222)
-5.4%
On power play, Staal has a +9.3% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Staal shoots left. Jenner is 52.1% vs left-shot opponents (666).
Jenner shoots left. Staal is 57.4% vs left-shot opponents (986).
Home / Away
Jenner
Staal
Home
52.9% (512)
57.0% (646)
Away
55.4% (601)
59.1% (729)
By Period
Jenner
Staal
P1
55.0%
55.9%
P2
54.5%
55.4%
P3
53.6%
62.0%
OT
52.6%
70.4%
Final 5 min
53.5%
63.1%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Jenner
52.0%▲
49.0%
54.3%
Staal
46.0%▼
51.0%
58.1%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Feb 29, 2024 | 3 | 07:54 | Defensive | Jordan Staal |
| Feb 29, 2024 | 3 | 07:50 | Defensive | Jordan Staal |
| Feb 29, 2024 | 3 | 07:32 | Defensive | Jordan Staal |
| Feb 29, 2024 | 3 | 03:40 | Offensive | Boone Jenner |
| Feb 29, 2024 | 2 | 14:22 | Offensive | Boone Jenner |
| Nov 26, 2023 | 3 | 18:05 | Neutral | Jordan Staal |
| Nov 26, 2023 | 3 | 16:18 | Offensive | Jordan Staal |
| Nov 26, 2023 | 3 | 10:01 | Neutral | Jordan Staal |
| Nov 26, 2023 | 3 | 07:00 | Defensive | Jordan Staal |
| Nov 26, 2023 | 3 | 06:41 | Neutral | Boone Jenner |
| Nov 26, 2023 | 3 | 00:13 | Neutral | Jordan Staal |
| Nov 26, 2023 | 3 | 00:00 | Neutral | Boone Jenner |
| Nov 26, 2023 | 2 | 19:14 | Defensive | Boone Jenner |
| Nov 26, 2023 | 2 | 18:53 | Defensive | Jordan Staal |
| Nov 26, 2023 | 2 | 00:06 | Offensive | Jordan Staal |
| Nov 26, 2023 | 2 | 00:00 | Neutral | Boone Jenner |
| Nov 26, 2023 | 1 | 07:53 | Neutral | Boone Jenner |
| Nov 26, 2023 | 1 | 07:48 | Neutral | Boone Jenner |
| Nov 26, 2023 | 1 | 04:18 | Neutral | Jordan Staal |
| Nov 26, 2023 | 1 | 01:05 | Offensive | Jordan Staal |