Scouting Report
Jordan Staal holds a +4.7% FO% edge overall. Jenner wins 53.4% vs left-shot opponents — Staal shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Jenner 52.3% vs Staal 57.3% (-4.7%)
H2H factor
Not applied (8 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Jenner 74.8%
Defensive zone
Staal 75.0%
Neutral zone
Staal 53.5%
Result
Jordan Staal favored at 52.7%
47.3%
52.7%
Jenner
Staal
Head-to-Head Record
4
-
4
(8 meetings)
4
4
Jenner
Staal
Last 8: Jenner 4-4 Staal
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Jenner
1
0
Jenner
Staal
1 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Staal
0
1
Jenner
Staal
1 total
Neutral Zone
Even
3
3
Jenner
Staal
6 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Jenner
Staal
Edge
Even Strength
53.8% (234)
56.6% (1,075)
-2.8%
Power Play
49.1% (53)
66.7% (141)
-17.6%
Penalty Kill
57.1% (7)
58.1% (179)
-1.0%
On power play, Staal has a +17.6% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Staal shoots left. Jenner is 53.4% vs left-shot opponents (174).
Jenner shoots left. Staal is 56.7% vs left-shot opponents (946).
Home / Away
Jenner
Staal
Home
55.1% (127)
57.7% (735)
Away
51.5% (167)
57.9% (660)
By Period
Jenner
Staal
P1
46.2%
61.8%
P2
51.0%
55.7%
P3
61.2%
56.1%
Final 5 min
50.0%
60.1%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Jenner
52.0%▲
49.0%
53.1%
Staal
46.0%▼
51.0%
57.8%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Apr 2, 2016 | 1 | 18:55 | Defensive | Jordan Staal |
| Mar 24, 2016 | 2 | 12:05 | Offensive | Boone Jenner |
| Mar 24, 2016 | 2 | 00:00 | Neutral | Jordan Staal |
| Mar 24, 2016 | 1 | 10:58 | Neutral | Boone Jenner |
| Jan 8, 2016 | 3 | 08:04 | Neutral | Jordan Staal |
| Jan 8, 2016 | 3 | 07:02 | Neutral | Boone Jenner |
| Jan 8, 2016 | 3 | 05:17 | Neutral | Boone Jenner |
| Jan 8, 2016 | 3 | 05:09 | Neutral | Jordan Staal |