Scouting Report
Jordan Staal holds a +1.7% FO% edge overall. Look for Jenner on offensive-zone draws (100% H2H, 3 meetings). Jenner wins 55.4% vs left-shot opponents — Staal shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Jenner 53.8% vs Staal 55.3% (-1.7%)
H2H factor
Not applied (9 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Staal 68.5%
Defensive zone
Jenner 56.6%
Neutral zone
Jenner 51.0%
Result
Jordan Staal favored at 55.5%
44.5%
55.5%
Jenner
Staal
Head-to-Head Record
7
-
2
(9 meetings)
7
2
Jenner
Staal
Last 9: Jenner 7-2 Staal
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Jenner
3
0
Jenner
Staal
3 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Jenner
4
2
Jenner
Staal
6 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Jenner
Staal
Edge
Even Strength
54.3% (923)
56.7% (750)
-2.4%
Power Play
57.4% (101)
62.5% (120)
-5.1%
Penalty Kill
50.4% (133)
46.4% (153)
+4.0%
On power play, Staal has a +5.1% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Staal shoots left. Jenner is 55.4% vs left-shot opponents (767).
Jenner shoots left. Staal is 53.4% vs left-shot opponents (654).
Home / Away
Jenner
Staal
Home
54.1% (575)
58.8% (522)
Away
54.1% (582)
52.7% (501)
By Period
Jenner
Staal
P1
54.1%
60.8%
P2
53.1%
55.9%
P3
54.9%
51.7%
OT
66.7%
46.2%
Final 5 min
50.2%
56.5%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Jenner
52.0%▲
49.0%
54.1%
Staal
46.0%▼
51.0%
55.8%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 15, 2019 | 3 | 00:12 | Offensive | Boone Jenner |
| Mar 15, 2019 | 3 | 00:00 | Neutral | Boone Jenner |
| Mar 15, 2019 | 2 | 03:33 | Neutral | Boone Jenner |
| Mar 15, 2019 | 2 | 00:00 | Neutral | Jordan Staal |
| Mar 15, 2019 | 1 | 15:53 | Offensive | Boone Jenner |
| Mar 15, 2019 | 1 | 00:00 | Neutral | Jordan Staal |
| Nov 17, 2018 | 3 | 10:41 | Neutral | Boone Jenner |
| Nov 17, 2018 | 2 | 07:22 | Neutral | Boone Jenner |
| Oct 5, 2018 | 1 | 17:13 | Offensive | Boone Jenner |