Scouting Report
Tomas Hertl holds a +3.2% FO% edge overall.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Jenner 53.9% vs Hertl 56.8% (-3.2%)
Offensive zone
Jenner 51.6%
Defensive zone
Jenner 51.8%
Neutral zone
Hertl 52.2%
Result
Boone Jenner favored at 50.4%
50.4%
49.6%
Jenner
Hertl
No head-to-head faceoffs recorded
Situation Matchup
Situation
Jenner
Hertl
Edge
Even Strength
54.5% (775)
57.0% (718)
-2.5%
Power Play
59.1% (198)
64.9% (188)
-5.8%
Penalty Kill
46.4% (140)
44.2% (77)
+2.2%
On power play, Hertl has a +5.8% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Hertl shoots left. Jenner is 52.1% vs left-shot opponents (666).
Jenner shoots left. Hertl is 54.7% vs left-shot opponents (631).
Home / Away
Jenner
Hertl
Home
52.9% (512)
59.2% (463)
Away
55.4% (601)
56.0% (520)
By Period
Jenner
Hertl
P1
55.0%
56.3%
P2
54.5%
55.4%
P3
53.6%
60.5%
OT
52.6%
50.0%
Final 5 min
53.5%
56.7%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Jenner
52.0%▲
49.0%
54.3%
Hertl
56.0%▼
60.0%
57.5%