Scouting Report
Tomas Hertl holds a +7.6% FO% edge overall.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Jenner 50.1% vs Hertl 57.2% (-7.6%)
Offensive zone
Hertl 66.5%
Defensive zone
Jenner 63.9%
Neutral zone
Hertl 52.9%
Result
Tomas Hertl favored at 51.9%
48.1%
51.9%
Jenner
Hertl
No head-to-head faceoffs recorded
Situation Matchup
Situation
Jenner
Hertl
Edge
Even Strength
49.8% (227)
58.1% (823)
-8.3%
Power Play
52.2% (23)
56.2% (265)
-4.0%
Penalty Kill
52.9% (17)
62.9% (35)
-10.0%
On penalty kill, Hertl has a +10.0% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Hertl shoots left. Jenner is 52.7% vs left-shot opponents (186).
Jenner shoots left. Hertl is 56.7% vs left-shot opponents (690).
Home / Away
Jenner
Hertl
Home
51.0% (143)
59.7% (561)
Away
49.2% (124)
55.9% (562)
By Period
Jenner
Hertl
P1
51.7%
51.6%
P2
40.5%
63.8%
P3
57.3%
58.6%
Final 5 min
52.1%
58.2%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Jenner
52.0%▲
49.0%
50.2%
Hertl
56.0%▼
60.0%
57.8%