Scouting Report
These two are closely matched in overall FO% (54.1% vs 53.4%). Look for Gourde on defensive-zone draws (75% H2H, 4 meetings). Jenner wins 55.4% vs left-shot opponents — Gourde shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Jenner 53.8% vs Gourde 52.5% (+0.7%)
H2H factor
Not applied (5 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Gourde 67.9%
Defensive zone
Jenner 66.3%
Neutral zone
Jenner 52.4%
Result
Boone Jenner favored at 59.4%
59.4%
40.6%
Jenner
Gourde
Head-to-Head Record
2
-
3
(5 meetings)
2
3
Jenner
Gourde
Last 5: Jenner 2-3 Gourde
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Jenner
1
0
Jenner
Gourde
1 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Gourde
1
3
Jenner
Gourde
4 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Jenner
Gourde
Edge
Even Strength
54.3% (923)
54.7% (243)
-0.4%
Power Play
57.4% (101)
50.0% (24)
+7.4%
Penalty Kill
50.4% (133)
37.5% (16)
+12.9%
On penalty kill, Jenner has a +12.9% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Gourde shoots left. Jenner is 55.4% vs left-shot opponents (767).
Jenner shoots left. Gourde is 59.5% vs left-shot opponents (185).
Home / Away
Jenner
Gourde
Home
54.1% (575)
54.1% (133)
Away
54.1% (582)
52.7% (150)
By Period
Jenner
Gourde
P1
54.1%
54.5%
P2
53.1%
52.6%
P3
54.9%
53.0%
OT
66.7%
50.0%
Final 5 min
50.2%
49.2%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Jenner
52.0%▲
49.0%
54.1%
Gourde
54.0%▲
46.0%
53.4%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Feb 18, 2019 | 3 | 12:08 | Defensive | Yanni Gourde |
| Feb 18, 2019 | 2 | 14:20 | Defensive | Yanni Gourde |
| Feb 18, 2019 | 1 | 15:14 | Defensive | Boone Jenner |
| Feb 18, 2019 | 1 | 13:42 | Defensive | Yanni Gourde |
| Feb 18, 2019 | 1 | 09:07 | Offensive | Boone Jenner |