Scouting Report
Boone Jenner holds a +4.7% FO% edge overall. Look for Jenner on offensive-zone draws (67% H2H, 3 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Jenner 50.1% vs Gourde 46.0% (+4.7%)
H2H factor
Not applied (6 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Jenner 71.7%
Defensive zone
Gourde 68.7%
Neutral zone
Gourde 54.2%
Result
Boone Jenner favored at 53.9%
53.9%
46.1%
Jenner
Gourde
Head-to-Head Record
3
-
3
(6 meetings)
3
3
Jenner
Gourde
Last 6: Jenner 3-3 Gourde
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Jenner
2
1
Jenner
Gourde
3 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Gourde
0
2
Jenner
Gourde
2 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Jenner
1
0
Jenner
Gourde
1 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Jenner
Gourde
Edge
Even Strength
49.8% (227)
47.2% (654)
+2.6%
Power Play
52.2% (23)
45.0% (20)
+7.2%
Penalty Kill
52.9% (17)
32.2% (87)
+20.7%
On penalty kill, Jenner has a +20.7% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Gourde shoots left. Jenner is 52.7% vs left-shot opponents (186).
Jenner shoots left. Gourde is 46.3% vs left-shot opponents (501).
Home / Away
Jenner
Gourde
Home
51.0% (143)
44.1% (322)
Away
49.2% (124)
46.5% (439)
By Period
Jenner
Gourde
P1
51.7%
42.4%
P2
40.5%
49.8%
P3
57.3%
44.3%
Final 5 min
52.1%
49.7%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Jenner
52.0%▲
49.0%
50.2%
Gourde
54.0%▲
46.0%
45.5%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 10, 2026 | 3 | 05:15 | Offensive | Yanni Gourde |
| Jan 24, 2026 | 1 | 09:07 | Offensive | Boone Jenner |
| Oct 18, 2025 | 3 | 04:48 | Defensive | Yanni Gourde |
| Oct 18, 2025 | 2 | 15:35 | Offensive | Boone Jenner |
| Oct 18, 2025 | 2 | 08:51 | Neutral | Boone Jenner |
| Oct 18, 2025 | 1 | 12:18 | Defensive | Yanni Gourde |