Scouting Report
Boone Jenner holds a +5.0% FO% edge overall. Look for Gourde on defensive-zone draws (75% H2H, 4 meetings). Jenner wins 55.1% vs left-shot opponents — Gourde shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Jenner 54.4% vs Gourde 49.7% (+5.0%)
H2H factor
Gourde leads 7-5 in 12 meetings
Offensive zone
Gourde 56.6%
Defensive zone
Gourde 54.5%
Neutral zone
Gourde 55.9%
Result
Yanni Gourde favored at 55.7%
44.3%
55.7%
Jenner
Gourde
Head-to-Head Record
5
-
7
(12 meetings)
5
7
Jenner
Gourde
Last 10: Jenner 5-5 Gourde
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Jenner
3
2
Jenner
Gourde
5 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Gourde
1
3
Jenner
Gourde
4 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Gourde
1
2
Jenner
Gourde
3 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Jenner
Gourde
Edge
Even Strength
54.2% (999)
49.1% (847)
+5.1%
Power Play
60.0% (240)
79.5% (44)
-19.5%
Penalty Kill
49.7% (147)
39.5% (81)
+10.2%
On power play, Gourde has a +19.5% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Gourde shoots left. Jenner is 55.1% vs left-shot opponents (884).
Jenner shoots left. Gourde is 50.1% vs left-shot opponents (651).
Home / Away
Jenner
Gourde
Home
56.7% (693)
50.1% (491)
Away
52.7% (693)
49.3% (481)
By Period
Jenner
Gourde
P1
57.1%
54.7%
P2
54.1%
45.0%
P3
53.0%
49.4%
OT
61.9%
50.0%
Final 5 min
51.9%
46.8%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Jenner
52.0%▲
49.0%
54.7%
Gourde
54.0%▲
46.0%
49.7%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 3, 2023 | 2 | 09:52 | Offensive | Boone Jenner |
| Mar 3, 2023 | 1 | 17:31 | Offensive | Yanni Gourde |
| Mar 3, 2023 | 1 | 12:40 | Defensive | Yanni Gourde |
| Mar 3, 2023 | 1 | 12:30 | Defensive | Yanni Gourde |
| Jan 28, 2023 | 3 | 19:17 | Offensive | Boone Jenner |
| Jan 28, 2023 | 3 | 13:38 | Offensive | Boone Jenner |
| Jan 28, 2023 | 3 | 13:27 | Neutral | Boone Jenner |
| Jan 28, 2023 | 2 | 07:10 | Defensive | Yanni Gourde |
| Jan 28, 2023 | 2 | 02:46 | Defensive | Boone Jenner |
| Jan 28, 2023 | 1 | 15:05 | Neutral | Yanni Gourde |
| Jan 28, 2023 | 1 | 14:59 | Offensive | Yanni Gourde |
| Jan 28, 2023 | 1 | 00:00 | Neutral | Yanni Gourde |