Scouting Report
Boone Jenner holds a +5.7% FO% edge overall. Look for Gourde on defensive-zone draws (56% H2H, 16 meetings). Jenner wins 54.1% vs left-shot opponents — Gourde shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Jenner 53.9% vs Gourde 48.2% (+5.7%)
H2H factor
Gourde leads 22-18 in 40 meetings
Offensive zone
Gourde 58.6%
Defensive zone
Gourde 57.5%
Neutral zone
Gourde 56.5%
Result
Yanni Gourde favored at 57.7%
42.3%
57.7%
Jenner
Gourde
Head-to-Head Record
18
-
22
(40 meetings)
18
22
Jenner
Gourde
Last 10: Jenner 5-5 Gourde
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Gourde
7
8
Jenner
Gourde
15 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Gourde
7
9
Jenner
Gourde
16 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Gourde
4
5
Jenner
Gourde
9 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Jenner
Gourde
Edge
Even Strength
54.5% (6,190)
48.4% (4,954)
+6.1%
Power Play
55.8% (1,147)
57.4% (376)
-1.6%
Penalty Kill
48.4% (998)
39.9% (554)
+8.5%
On penalty kill, Jenner has a +8.5% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Gourde shoots left. Jenner is 54.1% vs left-shot opponents (5,180).
Jenner shoots left. Gourde is 49.0% vs left-shot opponents (3,946).
Home / Away
Jenner
Gourde
Home
54.5% (4,051)
49.3% (2,915)
Away
53.4% (4,284)
47.2% (2,969)
By Period
Jenner
Gourde
P1
53.7%
49.9%
P2
53.5%
47.4%
P3
54.4%
47.5%
OT
54.5%
37.0%
Final 5 min
52.2%
48.0%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Jenner
52.0%▲
49.0%
53.9%
Gourde
54.0%▲
46.0%
48.2%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 10, 2026 | 3 | 05:15 | Offensive | Yanni Gourde |
| Jan 24, 2026 | 1 | 09:07 | Offensive | Boone Jenner |
| Oct 18, 2025 | 3 | 04:48 | Defensive | Yanni Gourde |
| Oct 18, 2025 | 2 | 15:35 | Offensive | Boone Jenner |
| Oct 18, 2025 | 2 | 08:51 | Neutral | Boone Jenner |
| Oct 18, 2025 | 1 | 12:18 | Defensive | Yanni Gourde |
| Jan 28, 2024 | 3 | 15:54 | Neutral | Yanni Gourde |
| Jan 28, 2024 | 3 | 07:12 | Neutral | Yanni Gourde |
| Jan 28, 2024 | 1 | 10:12 | Defensive | Boone Jenner |
| Jan 28, 2024 | 1 | 04:40 | Offensive | Boone Jenner |
| Mar 3, 2023 | 2 | 09:52 | Offensive | Boone Jenner |
| Mar 3, 2023 | 1 | 17:31 | Offensive | Yanni Gourde |
| Mar 3, 2023 | 1 | 12:40 | Defensive | Yanni Gourde |
| Mar 3, 2023 | 1 | 12:30 | Defensive | Yanni Gourde |
| Jan 28, 2023 | 3 | 19:17 | Offensive | Boone Jenner |
| Jan 28, 2023 | 3 | 13:38 | Offensive | Boone Jenner |
| Jan 28, 2023 | 3 | 13:27 | Neutral | Boone Jenner |
| Jan 28, 2023 | 2 | 07:10 | Defensive | Yanni Gourde |
| Jan 28, 2023 | 2 | 02:46 | Defensive | Boone Jenner |
| Jan 28, 2023 | 1 | 15:05 | Neutral | Yanni Gourde |