Scouting Report
Boone Jenner holds a +6.5% FO% edge overall.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Jenner 53.9% vs Gourde 48.0% (+6.5%)
H2H factor
Not applied (4 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Jenner 53.0%
Defensive zone
Gourde 52.4%
Neutral zone
Gourde 50.7%
Result
Yanni Gourde favored at 50.2%
49.8%
50.2%
Jenner
Gourde
Head-to-Head Record
2
-
2
(4 meetings)
2
2
Jenner
Gourde
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Jenner
1
0
Jenner
Gourde
1 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Jenner
1
0
Jenner
Gourde
1 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Gourde
0
2
Jenner
Gourde
2 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Jenner
Gourde
Edge
Even Strength
54.5% (775)
48.0% (914)
+6.5%
Power Play
59.1% (198)
54.2% (48)
+4.9%
Penalty Kill
46.4% (140)
43.9% (123)
+2.5%
On even strength, Jenner has a +6.5% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Gourde shoots left. Jenner is 52.1% vs left-shot opponents (666).
Jenner shoots left. Gourde is 47.9% vs left-shot opponents (764).
Home / Away
Jenner
Gourde
Home
52.9% (512)
50.2% (512)
Away
55.4% (601)
45.7% (573)
By Period
Jenner
Gourde
P1
55.0%
50.0%
P2
54.5%
45.3%
P3
53.6%
48.6%
OT
52.6%
20.0%
Final 5 min
53.5%
47.5%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Jenner
52.0%▲
49.0%
54.3%
Gourde
54.0%▲
46.0%
47.8%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jan 28, 2024 | 3 | 15:54 | Neutral | Yanni Gourde |
| Jan 28, 2024 | 3 | 07:12 | Neutral | Yanni Gourde |
| Jan 28, 2024 | 1 | 10:12 | Defensive | Boone Jenner |
| Jan 28, 2024 | 1 | 04:40 | Offensive | Boone Jenner |