Scouting Report
Boone Jenner holds a +4.1% FO% edge overall. Jenner wins 55.1% vs left-shot opponents — Gourde shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Jenner 53.3% vs Gourde 49.5% (+4.1%)
Offensive zone
Jenner 52.7%
Defensive zone
Gourde 50.5%
Neutral zone
Jenner 50.6%
Result
Boone Jenner favored at 50.9%
50.9%
49.1%
Jenner
Gourde
No head-to-head faceoffs recorded
Situation Matchup
Situation
Jenner
Gourde
Edge
Even Strength
54.1% (851)
49.1% (731)
+5.0%
Power Play
54.0% (202)
54.3% (81)
-0.3%
Penalty Kill
50.3% (145)
48.2% (85)
+2.1%
On even strength, Jenner has a +5.0% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Gourde shoots left. Jenner is 55.1% vs left-shot opponents (719).
Jenner shoots left. Gourde is 48.4% vs left-shot opponents (556).
Home / Away
Jenner
Gourde
Home
53.2% (609)
50.9% (479)
Away
54.0% (589)
47.8% (418)
By Period
Jenner
Gourde
P1
49.7%
51.2%
P2
53.6%
49.8%
P3
56.5%
47.5%
OT
65.2%
66.7%
Final 5 min
52.2%
50.5%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Jenner
52.0%▲
49.0%
53.6%
Gourde
54.0%▲
46.0%
49.5%