Scouting Report
Brady Tkachuk holds a +1.0% FO% edge overall. Look for Tkachuk on offensive-zone draws (100% H2H, 3 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Tkachuk 50.1% vs Coyle 49.2% (+1.0%)
H2H factor
Not applied (5 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Tkachuk 93.3%
Defensive zone
Coyle 85.2%
Neutral zone
Tkachuk 62.0%
Result
Brady Tkachuk favored at 71.3%
71.3%
28.7%
Tkachuk
Coyle
Head-to-Head Record
4
-
1
(5 meetings)
4
1
Tkachuk
Coyle
Last 5: Tkachuk 4-1 Coyle
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Tkachuk
3
0
Tkachuk
Coyle
3 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Coyle
0
1
Tkachuk
Coyle
1 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Tkachuk
1
0
Tkachuk
Coyle
1 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Tkachuk
Coyle
Edge
Even Strength
45.4% (183)
50.6% (921)
-5.2%
Power Play
53.2% (250)
51.0% (96)
+2.2%
Penalty Kill
100.0% (2)
30.1% (83)
+69.9%
On penalty kill, Tkachuk has a +69.9% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Coyle shoots right. Tkachuk is 48.0% vs right-shot opponents (198).
Tkachuk shoots left. Coyle is 49.0% vs left-shot opponents (759).
Home / Away
Tkachuk
Coyle
Home
51.1% (233)
51.8% (517)
Away
49.0% (202)
46.7% (583)
By Period
Tkachuk
Coyle
P1
42.9%
49.2%
P2
52.2%
52.8%
P3
53.7%
44.8%
OT
50.0%
54.5%
Final 5 min
43.8%
50.0%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Tkachuk
56.0%▼
60.5%
50.1%
Coyle
48.0%▼
51.0%
49.1%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Apr 14, 2022 | 2 | 08:46 | Offensive | Brady Tkachuk |
| Feb 12, 2022 | 1 | 14:20 | Offensive | Brady Tkachuk |
| Feb 12, 2022 | 1 | 14:07 | Defensive | Charlie Coyle |
| Feb 12, 2022 | 1 | 14:00 | Offensive | Brady Tkachuk |
| Nov 9, 2021 | 2 | 18:40 | Neutral | Brady Tkachuk |