Scouting Report
Brady Tkachuk holds a +2.7% FO% edge overall. Look for Tkachuk on offensive-zone draws (100% H2H, 4 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Tkachuk 51.0% vs Coyle 48.8% (+2.7%)
H2H factor
Not applied (8 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Tkachuk 84.3%
Defensive zone
Coyle 88.6%
Neutral zone
Coyle 54.5%
Result
Charlie Coyle favored at 52.2%
47.8%
52.2%
Tkachuk
Coyle
Head-to-Head Record
4
-
4
(8 meetings)
4
4
Tkachuk
Coyle
Last 8: Tkachuk 4-4 Coyle
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Tkachuk
4
0
Tkachuk
Coyle
4 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Coyle
0
4
Tkachuk
Coyle
4 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Tkachuk
Coyle
Edge
Even Strength
51.0% (194)
49.5% (576)
+1.5%
Power Play
51.7% (151)
54.2% (48)
-2.5%
Penalty Kill
50.0% (2)
43.4% (145)
+6.6%
On penalty kill, Tkachuk has a +6.6% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Coyle shoots right. Tkachuk is 47.3% vs right-shot opponents (129).
Tkachuk shoots left. Coyle is 46.6% vs left-shot opponents (594).
Home / Away
Tkachuk
Coyle
Home
50.0% (140)
47.4% (409)
Away
52.2% (207)
50.0% (360)
By Period
Tkachuk
Coyle
P1
54.3%
50.8%
P2
50.0%
46.0%
P3
49.5%
48.4%
OT
33.3%
64.3%
Final 5 min
51.1%
46.7%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Tkachuk
56.0%▼
60.5%
51.3%
Coyle
48.0%▼
51.0%
48.6%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 20, 2025 | 3 | 18:41 | Offensive | Brady Tkachuk |
| Mar 20, 2025 | 3 | 12:57 | Defensive | Charlie Coyle |
| Mar 20, 2025 | 3 | 08:26 | Defensive | Charlie Coyle |
| Nov 9, 2024 | 2 | 11:26 | Defensive | Charlie Coyle |
| Nov 9, 2024 | 2 | 01:41 | Offensive | Brady Tkachuk |
| Nov 9, 2024 | 1 | 19:27 | Defensive | Charlie Coyle |
| Nov 9, 2024 | 1 | 18:35 | Offensive | Brady Tkachuk |
| Nov 9, 2024 | 1 | 18:27 | Offensive | Brady Tkachuk |