Scouting Report
Brady Tkachuk holds a +8.0% FO% edge overall. Look for Tkachuk on offensive-zone draws (100% H2H, 4 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Tkachuk 56.0% vs Coyle 50.5% (+8.0%)
H2H factor
Not applied (9 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Tkachuk 82.1%
Defensive zone
Coyle 92.8%
Neutral zone
Coyle 66.0%
Result
Charlie Coyle favored at 56.6%
43.4%
56.6%
Tkachuk
Coyle
Head-to-Head Record
4
-
5
(9 meetings)
4
5
Tkachuk
Coyle
Last 9: Tkachuk 4-5 Coyle
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Tkachuk
4
0
Tkachuk
Coyle
4 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Coyle
0
4
Tkachuk
Coyle
4 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Coyle
0
1
Tkachuk
Coyle
1 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Tkachuk
Coyle
Edge
Even Strength
56.8% (139)
52.3% (811)
+4.5%
Power Play
60.6% (94)
44.3% (61)
+16.3%
Penalty Kill
100.0% (1)
44.8% (181)
+55.2%
On penalty kill, Tkachuk has a +55.2% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Coyle shoots right. Tkachuk is 47.6% vs right-shot opponents (63).
Tkachuk shoots left. Coyle is 49.3% vs left-shot opponents (797).
Home / Away
Tkachuk
Coyle
Home
50.4% (121)
49.0% (537)
Away
67.3% (113)
52.1% (516)
By Period
Tkachuk
Coyle
P1
57.1%
48.7%
P2
60.0%
49.6%
P3
58.3%
53.1%
OT
66.7%
45.5%
Final 5 min
55.3%
49.1%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Tkachuk
56.0%▼
60.5%
58.5%
Coyle
48.0%▼
51.0%
50.5%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jan 20, 2026 | 3 | 14:10 | Offensive | Brady Tkachuk |
| Jan 20, 2026 | 3 | 03:57 | Neutral | Charlie Coyle |
| Dec 29, 2025 | 3 | 16:31 | Defensive | Charlie Coyle |
| Dec 29, 2025 | 3 | 16:14 | Offensive | Brady Tkachuk |
| Dec 29, 2025 | 2 | 18:36 | Defensive | Charlie Coyle |
| Dec 29, 2025 | 2 | 10:47 | Defensive | Charlie Coyle |
| Dec 29, 2025 | 2 | 03:24 | Offensive | Brady Tkachuk |
| Dec 11, 2025 | 2 | 17:03 | Offensive | Brady Tkachuk |
| Dec 11, 2025 | 1 | 13:21 | Defensive | Charlie Coyle |