Scouting Report
Elias Lindholm holds a +2.8% FO% edge overall. Look for Lindholm on defensive-zone draws (100% H2H, 6 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Tkachuk 50.1% vs Lindholm 52.7% (-2.8%)
H2H factor
Not applied (8 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Tkachuk 93.9%
Defensive zone
Lindholm 84.9%
Neutral zone
Tkachuk 63.9%
Result
Elias Lindholm favored at 68.9%
31.1%
68.9%
Tkachuk
Lindholm
Head-to-Head Record
2
-
6
(8 meetings)
2
6
Tkachuk
Lindholm
Last 8: Tkachuk 2-6 Lindholm
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Tkachuk
1
0
Tkachuk
Lindholm
1 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Lindholm
0
6
Tkachuk
Lindholm
6 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Tkachuk
1
0
Tkachuk
Lindholm
1 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Tkachuk
Lindholm
Edge
Even Strength
45.4% (183)
52.4% (1,156)
-7.0%
Power Play
53.2% (250)
59.6% (198)
-6.4%
Penalty Kill
100.0% (2)
49.6% (238)
+50.4%
On penalty kill, Tkachuk has a +50.4% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Lindholm shoots right. Tkachuk is 48.0% vs right-shot opponents (198).
Tkachuk shoots left. Lindholm is 54.5% vs left-shot opponents (1,221).
Home / Away
Tkachuk
Lindholm
Home
51.1% (233)
52.3% (771)
Away
49.0% (202)
53.5% (821)
By Period
Tkachuk
Lindholm
P1
42.9%
50.7%
P2
52.2%
55.3%
P3
53.7%
54.0%
OT
50.0%
29.6%
Final 5 min
43.8%
55.2%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Tkachuk
56.0%▼
60.5%
50.1%
Lindholm
58.0%▬
58.5%
52.9%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jan 13, 2022 | 3 | 17:22 | Defensive | Elias Lindholm |
| Jan 13, 2022 | 3 | 09:11 | Defensive | Elias Lindholm |
| Jan 13, 2022 | 2 | 02:04 | Offensive | Brady Tkachuk |
| Nov 14, 2021 | 3 | 00:16 | Neutral | Brady Tkachuk |
| Nov 14, 2021 | 2 | 19:41 | Defensive | Elias Lindholm |
| Nov 14, 2021 | 2 | 15:25 | Defensive | Elias Lindholm |
| Nov 14, 2021 | 1 | 13:29 | Defensive | Elias Lindholm |
| Nov 14, 2021 | 1 | 11:43 | Defensive | Elias Lindholm |