Scouting Report
Brady Tkachuk holds a +3.2% FO% edge overall.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Tkachuk 56.0% vs Lindholm 54.8% (+3.2%)
H2H factor
Not applied (1 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Tkachuk 71.5%
Defensive zone
Lindholm 83.0%
Neutral zone
Tkachuk 53.4%
Result
Elias Lindholm favored at 83.0%
17.0%
83.0%
Tkachuk
Lindholm
Head-to-Head Record
0
-
1
(1 meetings)
0
1
Tkachuk
Lindholm
Zone Breakdown
Defensive Zone
Edge: Lindholm
0
1
Tkachuk
Lindholm
1 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Tkachuk
Lindholm
Edge
Even Strength
56.8% (139)
54.4% (722)
+2.4%
Power Play
60.6% (94)
62.2% (164)
-1.6%
Penalty Kill
100.0% (1)
49.4% (83)
+50.6%
On penalty kill, Tkachuk has a +50.6% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Lindholm shoots right. Tkachuk is 47.6% vs right-shot opponents (63).
Tkachuk shoots left. Lindholm is 57.8% vs left-shot opponents (699).
Home / Away
Tkachuk
Lindholm
Home
50.4% (121)
55.8% (541)
Away
67.3% (113)
54.7% (428)
By Period
Tkachuk
Lindholm
P1
57.1%
54.8%
P2
60.0%
55.7%
P3
58.3%
55.6%
OT
66.7%
0.0%
Final 5 min
55.3%
53.8%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Tkachuk
56.0%▼
60.5%
58.5%
Lindholm
58.0%▬
58.5%
55.3%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Dec 21, 2025 | 1 | 07:52 | Defensive | Elias Lindholm |