Scouting Report
Elias Lindholm holds a +3.8% FO% edge overall. Tkachuk wins 44.2% vs right-shot opponents — Lindholm shoots right.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Tkachuk 52.1% vs Lindholm 55.9% (-3.8%)
H2H factor
Not applied (3 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Tkachuk 85.9%
Defensive zone
Lindholm 87.9%
Neutral zone
Tkachuk 67.5%
Result
Brady Tkachuk favored at 55.2%
55.2%
44.8%
Tkachuk
Lindholm
Head-to-Head Record
1
-
2
(3 meetings)
1
2
Tkachuk
Lindholm
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Lindholm
0
1
Tkachuk
Lindholm
1 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Lindholm
0
1
Tkachuk
Lindholm
1 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Tkachuk
1
0
Tkachuk
Lindholm
1 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Tkachuk
Lindholm
Edge
Even Strength
47.9% (192)
57.3% (944)
-9.4%
Power Play
57.8% (187)
61.1% (162)
-3.3%
Penalty Kill
0.0% (1)
49.1% (230)
-49.1%
On penalty kill, Lindholm has a +49.1% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Lindholm shoots right. Tkachuk is 44.2% vs right-shot opponents (172).
Tkachuk shoots left. Lindholm is 56.9% vs left-shot opponents (1,080).
Home / Away
Tkachuk
Lindholm
Home
56.0% (175)
55.2% (667)
Away
49.8% (205)
57.5% (669)
By Period
Tkachuk
Lindholm
P1
55.0%
54.7%
P2
51.9%
55.5%
P3
47.3%
58.5%
OT
77.8%
64.7%
Final 5 min
49.0%
53.4%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Tkachuk
56.0%▼
60.5%
52.6%
Lindholm
58.0%▬
58.5%
56.4%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jan 9, 2024 | 3 | 15:45 | Neutral | Brady Tkachuk |
| Jan 9, 2024 | 3 | 12:33 | Offensive | Elias Lindholm |
| Jan 9, 2024 | 2 | 09:22 | Defensive | Elias Lindholm |