Scouting Report
Elias Lindholm holds a +7.3% FO% edge overall. Look for Lindholm on defensive-zone draws (100% H2H, 8 meetings). Tkachuk wins 46.8% vs right-shot opponents — Lindholm shoots right.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Tkachuk 48.6% vs Lindholm 55.4% (-7.3%)
H2H factor
Lindholm leads 8-2 in 10 meetings
Offensive zone
Tkachuk 97.5%
Defensive zone
Tkachuk 51.8%
Neutral zone
Tkachuk 82.3%
Result
Brady Tkachuk favored at 60.9%
60.9%
39.1%
Tkachuk
Lindholm
Head-to-Head Record
2
-
8
(10 meetings)
2
8
Tkachuk
Lindholm
Last 10: Tkachuk 2-8 Lindholm
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Tkachuk
2
0
Tkachuk
Lindholm
2 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Lindholm
0
8
Tkachuk
Lindholm
8 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Tkachuk
Lindholm
Edge
Even Strength
47.5% (421)
57.7% (1,124)
-10.2%
Power Play
50.3% (336)
52.9% (155)
-2.6%
Penalty Kill
12.5% (8)
48.6% (259)
-36.1%
On penalty kill, Lindholm has a +36.1% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Lindholm shoots right. Tkachuk is 46.8% vs right-shot opponents (344).
Tkachuk shoots left. Lindholm is 57.6% vs left-shot opponents (1,140).
Home / Away
Tkachuk
Lindholm
Home
49.9% (389)
55.7% (760)
Away
46.8% (376)
55.8% (778)
By Period
Tkachuk
Lindholm
P1
44.4%
53.7%
P2
51.8%
58.3%
P3
47.8%
55.1%
OT
57.1%
59.1%
Final 5 min
44.3%
51.8%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Tkachuk
56.0%▼
60.5%
48.4%
Lindholm
58.0%▬
58.5%
55.7%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 12, 2023 | 3 | 10:36 | Defensive | Elias Lindholm |
| Mar 12, 2023 | 2 | 07:45 | Defensive | Elias Lindholm |
| Mar 12, 2023 | 2 | 02:29 | Defensive | Elias Lindholm |
| Mar 12, 2023 | 1 | 10:21 | Defensive | Elias Lindholm |
| Feb 13, 2023 | 3 | 11:20 | Defensive | Elias Lindholm |
| Feb 13, 2023 | 2 | 09:22 | Offensive | Brady Tkachuk |
| Feb 13, 2023 | 1 | 15:16 | Defensive | Elias Lindholm |
| Feb 13, 2023 | 1 | 11:54 | Defensive | Elias Lindholm |
| Feb 13, 2023 | 1 | 07:27 | Offensive | Brady Tkachuk |
| Feb 13, 2023 | 1 | 07:20 | Defensive | Elias Lindholm |