Scouting Report
Elias Lindholm holds a +3.9% FO% edge overall. Look for Tkachuk on offensive-zone draws (100% H2H, 3 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Tkachuk 51.0% vs Lindholm 54.9% (-3.9%)
H2H factor
Not applied (5 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Tkachuk 70.2%
Defensive zone
Lindholm 90.5%
Neutral zone
Lindholm 61.2%
Result
Elias Lindholm favored at 54.1%
45.9%
54.1%
Tkachuk
Lindholm
Head-to-Head Record
3
-
2
(5 meetings)
3
2
Tkachuk
Lindholm
Last 5: Tkachuk 3-2 Lindholm
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Tkachuk
3
0
Tkachuk
Lindholm
3 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Lindholm
0
2
Tkachuk
Lindholm
2 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Tkachuk
Lindholm
Edge
Even Strength
51.0% (194)
54.9% (937)
-3.9%
Power Play
51.7% (151)
60.4% (265)
-8.7%
Penalty Kill
50.0% (2)
49.4% (172)
+0.6%
On power play, Lindholm has a +8.7% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Lindholm shoots right. Tkachuk is 47.3% vs right-shot opponents (129).
Tkachuk shoots left. Lindholm is 55.8% vs left-shot opponents (1,115).
Home / Away
Tkachuk
Lindholm
Home
50.0% (140)
54.4% (688)
Away
52.2% (207)
56.1% (686)
By Period
Tkachuk
Lindholm
P1
54.3%
57.2%
P2
50.0%
54.3%
P3
49.5%
54.2%
OT
33.3%
54.5%
Final 5 min
51.1%
54.1%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Tkachuk
56.0%▼
60.5%
51.3%
Lindholm
58.0%▬
58.5%
55.2%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 13, 2025 | 1 | 02:14 | Defensive | Elias Lindholm |
| Jan 23, 2025 | 3 | 09:34 | Offensive | Brady Tkachuk |
| Jan 18, 2025 | 3 | 02:31 | Offensive | Brady Tkachuk |
| Jan 18, 2025 | 1 | 14:49 | Offensive | Brady Tkachuk |
| Nov 9, 2024 | 3 | 19:26 | Defensive | Elias Lindholm |