Scouting Report
Brady Tkachuk holds a +2.3% FO% edge overall.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Tkachuk 56.0% vs Evans 55.4% (+2.3%)
H2H factor
Not applied (1 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Tkachuk 86.3%
Defensive zone
Evans 91.2%
Neutral zone
Tkachuk 50.2%
Result
Jake Evans favored at 91.2%
8.8%
91.2%
Tkachuk
Evans
Head-to-Head Record
0
-
1
(1 meetings)
0
1
Tkachuk
Evans
Zone Breakdown
Defensive Zone
Edge: Evans
0
1
Tkachuk
Evans
1 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Tkachuk
Evans
Edge
Even Strength
56.8% (139)
56.2% (477)
+0.6%
Power Play
60.6% (94)
70.0% (10)
-9.4%
Penalty Kill
100.0% (1)
55.4% (204)
+44.6%
On penalty kill, Tkachuk has a +44.6% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Evans shoots right. Tkachuk is 47.6% vs right-shot opponents (63).
Tkachuk shoots left. Evans is 54.8% vs left-shot opponents (516).
Home / Away
Tkachuk
Evans
Home
50.4% (121)
55.3% (374)
Away
67.3% (113)
57.1% (317)
By Period
Tkachuk
Evans
P1
57.1%
58.5%
P2
60.0%
55.7%
P3
58.3%
53.9%
OT
66.7%
66.7%
Final 5 min
55.3%
54.3%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Tkachuk
56.0%▼
60.5%
58.5%
Evans
54.0%▼
60.5%
56.2%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 11, 2026 | 3 | 01:21 | Defensive | Jake Evans |