Scouting Report
These two are closely matched in overall FO% (50.1% vs 50.5%).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Tkachuk 50.1% vs Backlund 50.5% (-0.4%)
H2H factor
Not applied (1 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Tkachuk 90.0%
Defensive zone
Backlund 89.8%
Neutral zone
Tkachuk 51.6%
Result
Mikael Backlund favored at 89.8%
10.2%
89.8%
Tkachuk
Backlund
Head-to-Head Record
0
-
1
(1 meetings)
0
1
Tkachuk
Backlund
Zone Breakdown
Defensive Zone
Edge: Backlund
0
1
Tkachuk
Backlund
1 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Tkachuk
Backlund
Edge
Even Strength
45.4% (183)
51.5% (983)
-6.1%
Power Play
53.2% (250)
49.4% (87)
+3.8%
Penalty Kill
100.0% (2)
45.3% (159)
+54.7%
On penalty kill, Tkachuk has a +54.7% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Backlund shoots left. Tkachuk is 51.9% vs left-shot opponents (237).
Tkachuk shoots left. Backlund is 51.2% vs left-shot opponents (742).
Home / Away
Tkachuk
Backlund
Home
51.1% (233)
51.6% (653)
Away
49.0% (202)
49.3% (576)
By Period
Tkachuk
Backlund
P1
42.9%
50.0%
P2
52.2%
49.8%
P3
53.7%
51.7%
OT
50.0%
53.3%
Final 5 min
43.8%
50.7%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Tkachuk
56.0%▼
60.5%
50.1%
Backlund
52.0%▲
48.0%
50.5%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jan 13, 2022 | 2 | 02:26 | Defensive | Mikael Backlund |