Brady Tkachuk vs Mikael Backlund
All Seasons · Faceoff Head-to-Head
Scouting Report
These two are closely matched in overall FO% (49.7% vs 49.1%). Look for Tkachuk on offensive-zone draws (92% H2H, 12 meetings). Tkachuk wins 53.7% vs left-shot opponents — Backlund shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Tkachuk 49.7% vs Backlund 49.1% (+0.6%)
H2H factor
Tkachuk leads 14-9 in 23 meetings
Offensive zone
Tkachuk 94.0%
Defensive zone
Backlund 82.5%
Neutral zone
Tkachuk 52.6%
Result
Brady Tkachuk favored at 59.0%
59.0%
41.0%
Tkachuk
Backlund
Head-to-Head Record
14
-
9
(23 meetings)
14
9
Tkachuk
Backlund
Last 10: Tkachuk 8-2 Backlund
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Tkachuk
11
1
Tkachuk
Backlund
12 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Backlund
2
8
Tkachuk
Backlund
10 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Tkachuk
1
0
Tkachuk
Backlund
1 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Tkachuk
Backlund
Edge
Even Strength
48.9% (1,510)
49.7% (13,231)
-0.8%
Power Play
50.7% (1,254)
51.5% (1,323)
-0.8%
Penalty Kill
45.0% (20)
43.9% (2,385)
+1.1%
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Backlund shoots left. Tkachuk is 53.7% vs left-shot opponents (1,581).
Tkachuk shoots left. Backlund is 48.8% vs left-shot opponents (10,786).
Home / Away
Tkachuk
Backlund
Home
50.9% (1,394)
49.8% (8,434)
Away
48.6% (1,390)
48.3% (8,510)
By Period
Tkachuk
Backlund
P1
49.3%
48.6%
P2
51.0%
50.3%
P3
48.5%
48.4%
OT
54.5%
44.3%
Final 5 min
46.4%
48.6%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Tkachuk
56.0%▬
57.0%
49.7%
Backlund
44.0%▬
44.0%
49.1%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Dec 19, 2024 | 3 | 18:51 | Offensive | Brady Tkachuk |
| Dec 19, 2024 | 3 | 14:46 | Offensive | Brady Tkachuk |
| Dec 19, 2024 | 3 | 11:01 | Offensive | Brady Tkachuk |
| Dec 19, 2024 | 2 | 08:40 | Offensive | Brady Tkachuk |
| Dec 19, 2024 | 2 | 08:34 | Offensive | Brady Tkachuk |
| Nov 25, 2024 | 3 | 12:51 | Offensive | Brady Tkachuk |
| Nov 25, 2024 | 3 | 09:49 | Defensive | Mikael Backlund |
| Nov 25, 2024 | 3 | 04:12 | Offensive | Brady Tkachuk |
| Nov 25, 2024 | 3 | 03:50 | Offensive | Brady Tkachuk |
| Nov 25, 2024 | 2 | 02:23 | Defensive | Mikael Backlund |
| Nov 25, 2024 | 1 | 15:20 | Defensive | Mikael Backlund |
| Nov 25, 2024 | 1 | 14:57 | Offensive | Brady Tkachuk |
| Nov 11, 2023 | 2 | 02:24 | Offensive | Brady Tkachuk |
| Nov 11, 2023 | 1 | 07:05 | Defensive | Brady Tkachuk |
| Mar 12, 2023 | 2 | 02:21 | Neutral | Brady Tkachuk |
| Mar 12, 2023 | 2 | 02:12 | Offensive | Brady Tkachuk |
| Mar 12, 2023 | 1 | 14:33 | Defensive | Mikael Backlund |
| Jan 13, 2022 | 2 | 02:26 | Defensive | Mikael Backlund |
| Mar 1, 2021 | 1 | 17:28 | Defensive | Mikael Backlund |
| Feb 27, 2021 | 3 | 11:35 | Defensive | Mikael Backlund |