Brady Tkachuk vs Mikael Backlund
All Seasons · Faceoff Head-to-Head
Scouting Report
Brady Tkachuk holds a +1.1% FO% edge overall. Look for Tkachuk on offensive-zone draws (93% H2H, 15 meetings). Tkachuk wins 54.1% vs left-shot opponents — Backlund shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Tkachuk 50.1% vs Backlund 49.0% (+1.1%)
H2H factor
Tkachuk leads 17-10 in 27 meetings
Offensive zone
Tkachuk 93.5%
Defensive zone
Backlund 82.9%
Neutral zone
Tkachuk 50.9%
Result
Brady Tkachuk favored at 60.8%
60.8%
39.2%
Tkachuk
Backlund
Head-to-Head Record
17
-
10
(27 meetings)
17
10
Tkachuk
Backlund
Last 10: Tkachuk 9-1 Backlund
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Tkachuk
14
1
Tkachuk
Backlund
15 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Backlund
2
9
Tkachuk
Backlund
11 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Tkachuk
1
0
Tkachuk
Backlund
1 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Tkachuk
Backlund
Edge
Even Strength
49.0% (1,560)
49.7% (13,410)
-0.7%
Power Play
51.4% (1,291)
51.6% (1,336)
-0.2%
Penalty Kill
45.0% (20)
44.0% (2,446)
+1.0%
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Backlund shoots left. Tkachuk is 54.1% vs left-shot opponents (1,653).
Tkachuk shoots left. Backlund is 48.8% vs left-shot opponents (10,953).
Home / Away
Tkachuk
Backlund
Home
50.7% (1,428)
49.7% (8,565)
Away
49.5% (1,443)
48.3% (8,632)
By Period
Tkachuk
Backlund
P1
49.4%
48.5%
P2
51.3%
50.3%
P3
49.3%
48.4%
OT
57.1%
44.1%
Final 5 min
46.9%
48.3%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Tkachuk
56.0%▼
60.5%
50.1%
Backlund
52.0%▲
48.0%
49.0%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 5, 2026 | 3 | 07:58 | Defensive | Mikael Backlund |
| Mar 5, 2026 | 3 | 01:46 | Offensive | Brady Tkachuk |
| Mar 5, 2026 | 2 | 10:51 | Offensive | Brady Tkachuk |
| Mar 5, 2026 | 1 | 19:23 | Offensive | Brady Tkachuk |
| Dec 19, 2024 | 3 | 18:51 | Offensive | Brady Tkachuk |
| Dec 19, 2024 | 3 | 14:46 | Offensive | Brady Tkachuk |
| Dec 19, 2024 | 3 | 11:01 | Offensive | Brady Tkachuk |
| Dec 19, 2024 | 2 | 08:40 | Offensive | Brady Tkachuk |
| Dec 19, 2024 | 2 | 08:34 | Offensive | Brady Tkachuk |
| Nov 25, 2024 | 3 | 12:51 | Offensive | Brady Tkachuk |
| Nov 25, 2024 | 3 | 09:49 | Defensive | Mikael Backlund |
| Nov 25, 2024 | 3 | 04:12 | Offensive | Brady Tkachuk |
| Nov 25, 2024 | 3 | 03:50 | Offensive | Brady Tkachuk |
| Nov 25, 2024 | 2 | 02:23 | Defensive | Mikael Backlund |
| Nov 25, 2024 | 1 | 15:20 | Defensive | Mikael Backlund |
| Nov 25, 2024 | 1 | 14:57 | Offensive | Brady Tkachuk |
| Nov 11, 2023 | 2 | 02:24 | Offensive | Brady Tkachuk |
| Nov 11, 2023 | 1 | 07:05 | Defensive | Brady Tkachuk |
| Mar 12, 2023 | 2 | 02:21 | Neutral | Brady Tkachuk |
| Mar 12, 2023 | 2 | 02:12 | Offensive | Brady Tkachuk |