Scouting Report
Mikael Backlund holds a +2.5% FO% edge overall.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Tkachuk 48.6% vs Backlund 50.8% (-2.5%)
H2H factor
Not applied (3 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Tkachuk 87.5%
Defensive zone
Backlund 88.5%
Neutral zone
Backlund 61.0%
Result
Mikael Backlund favored at 54.0%
46.0%
54.0%
Tkachuk
Backlund
Head-to-Head Record
2
-
1
(3 meetings)
2
1
Tkachuk
Backlund
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Tkachuk
1
0
Tkachuk
Backlund
1 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Backlund
0
1
Tkachuk
Backlund
1 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Tkachuk
1
0
Tkachuk
Backlund
1 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Tkachuk
Backlund
Edge
Even Strength
47.5% (421)
51.9% (1,083)
-4.4%
Power Play
50.3% (336)
51.7% (120)
-1.4%
Penalty Kill
12.5% (8)
44.3% (183)
-31.8%
On penalty kill, Backlund has a +31.8% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Backlund shoots left. Tkachuk is 49.6% vs left-shot opponents (421).
Tkachuk shoots left. Backlund is 52.2% vs left-shot opponents (824).
Home / Away
Tkachuk
Backlund
Home
49.9% (389)
51.9% (673)
Away
46.8% (376)
49.9% (713)
By Period
Tkachuk
Backlund
P1
44.4%
51.4%
P2
51.8%
50.5%
P3
47.8%
51.4%
OT
57.1%
35.0%
Final 5 min
44.3%
50.2%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Tkachuk
56.0%▼
60.5%
48.4%
Backlund
52.0%▲
48.0%
50.9%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 12, 2023 | 2 | 02:21 | Neutral | Brady Tkachuk |
| Mar 12, 2023 | 2 | 02:12 | Offensive | Brady Tkachuk |
| Mar 12, 2023 | 1 | 14:33 | Defensive | Mikael Backlund |