Scouting Report
Brady Tkachuk holds a +2.3% FO% edge overall. Tkachuk wins 59.6% vs left-shot opponents — Backlund shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Tkachuk 52.1% vs Backlund 50.3% (+2.3%)
H2H factor
Not applied (2 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Tkachuk 92.7%
Defensive zone
Backlund 89.3%
Neutral zone
Tkachuk 63.0%
Result
Brady Tkachuk favored at 51.7%
51.7%
48.3%
Tkachuk
Backlund
Head-to-Head Record
2
-
0
(2 meetings)
2
0
Tkachuk
Backlund
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Tkachuk
1
0
Tkachuk
Backlund
1 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Tkachuk
1
0
Tkachuk
Backlund
1 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Tkachuk
Backlund
Edge
Even Strength
47.9% (192)
51.0% (1,205)
-3.1%
Power Play
57.8% (187)
59.3% (108)
-1.5%
Penalty Kill
0.0% (1)
42.3% (234)
-42.3%
On penalty kill, Backlund has a +42.3% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Backlund shoots left. Tkachuk is 59.6% vs left-shot opponents (208).
Tkachuk shoots left. Backlund is 48.4% vs left-shot opponents (1,012).
Home / Away
Tkachuk
Backlund
Home
56.0% (175)
51.2% (782)
Away
49.8% (205)
49.4% (765)
By Period
Tkachuk
Backlund
P1
55.0%
51.5%
P2
51.9%
49.8%
P3
47.3%
49.9%
OT
77.8%
37.5%
Final 5 min
49.0%
50.5%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Tkachuk
56.0%▼
60.5%
52.6%
Backlund
52.0%▲
48.0%
50.3%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 11, 2023 | 2 | 02:24 | Offensive | Brady Tkachuk |
| Nov 11, 2023 | 1 | 07:05 | Defensive | Brady Tkachuk |