Scouting Report
Brady Tkachuk holds a +3.4% FO% edge overall. Look for Suzuki on defensive-zone draws (67% H2H, 3 meetings). Tkachuk wins 39.6% vs right-shot opponents — Suzuki shoots right.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Tkachuk 48.1% vs Suzuki 44.6% (+3.4%)
H2H factor
Not applied (7 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Tkachuk 73.3%
Defensive zone
Suzuki 59.6%
Neutral zone
Tkachuk 58.6%
Result
Brady Tkachuk favored at 52.9%
52.9%
47.1%
Tkachuk
Suzuki
Head-to-Head Record
4
-
3
(7 meetings)
4
3
Tkachuk
Suzuki
Last 7: Tkachuk 4-3 Suzuki
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Tkachuk
1
0
Tkachuk
Suzuki
1 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Suzuki
1
2
Tkachuk
Suzuki
3 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Tkachuk
2
1
Tkachuk
Suzuki
3 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Tkachuk
Suzuki
Edge
Even Strength
48.5% (99)
43.8% (623)
+4.7%
Power Play
46.7% (150)
48.1% (129)
-1.4%
On even strength, Tkachuk has a +4.7% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Suzuki shoots right. Tkachuk is 39.6% vs right-shot opponents (111).
Tkachuk shoots left. Suzuki is 42.6% vs left-shot opponents (615).
Home / Away
Tkachuk
Suzuki
Home
50.7% (136)
44.8% (364)
Away
43.4% (113)
43.3% (432)
By Period
Tkachuk
Suzuki
P1
45.9%
45.8%
P2
54.4%
42.3%
P3
42.2%
43.8%
OT
50.0%
50.0%
Final 5 min
41.8%
44.4%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Tkachuk
56.0%▬
57.0%
47.4%
Suzuki
48.0%▼
53.5%
44.0%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| May 5, 2021 | 1 | 11:35 | Neutral | Brady Tkachuk |
| May 1, 2021 | 3 | 00:20 | Defensive | Nick Suzuki |
| Apr 17, 2021 | 2 | 18:53 | Defensive | Brady Tkachuk |
| Apr 17, 2021 | 1 | 13:46 | Offensive | Brady Tkachuk |
| Feb 21, 2021 | 2 | 10:46 | Neutral | Brady Tkachuk |
| Feb 21, 2021 | 2 | 10:22 | Defensive | Nick Suzuki |
| Feb 6, 2021 | 3 | 19:05 | Neutral | Nick Suzuki |