Scouting Report
Brady Tkachuk holds a +1.1% FO% edge overall. Look for Suzuki on defensive-zone draws (89% H2H, 9 meetings). Tkachuk wins 46.8% vs right-shot opponents — Suzuki shoots right.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Tkachuk 48.6% vs Suzuki 47.5% (+1.1%)
H2H factor
Suzuki leads 13-7 in 20 meetings
Offensive zone
Tkachuk 82.5%
Defensive zone
Suzuki 91.3%
Neutral zone
Suzuki 61.7%
Result
Nick Suzuki favored at 64.0%
36.0%
64.0%
Tkachuk
Suzuki
Head-to-Head Record
7
-
13
(20 meetings)
7
13
Tkachuk
Suzuki
Last 10: Tkachuk 2-8 Suzuki
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Tkachuk
4
1
Tkachuk
Suzuki
5 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Suzuki
1
8
Tkachuk
Suzuki
9 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Suzuki
2
4
Tkachuk
Suzuki
6 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Tkachuk
Suzuki
Edge
Even Strength
47.5% (421)
47.0% (1,066)
+0.5%
Power Play
50.3% (336)
49.5% (204)
+0.8%
Penalty Kill
12.5% (8)
46.6% (131)
-34.1%
On penalty kill, Suzuki has a +34.1% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Suzuki shoots right. Tkachuk is 46.8% vs right-shot opponents (344).
Tkachuk shoots left. Suzuki is 47.0% vs left-shot opponents (1,005).
Home / Away
Tkachuk
Suzuki
Home
49.9% (389)
49.4% (686)
Away
46.8% (376)
45.3% (715)
By Period
Tkachuk
Suzuki
P1
44.4%
45.6%
P2
51.8%
46.9%
P3
47.8%
49.8%
OT
57.1%
38.1%
Final 5 min
44.3%
47.4%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Tkachuk
56.0%▬
57.0%
48.4%
Suzuki
48.0%▼
53.5%
47.3%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Feb 25, 2023 | 3 | 10:19 | Defensive | Nick Suzuki |
| Feb 25, 2023 | 2 | 13:03 | Neutral | Brady Tkachuk |
| Feb 25, 2023 | 2 | 09:50 | Defensive | Nick Suzuki |
| Feb 25, 2023 | 2 | 06:26 | Offensive | Brady Tkachuk |
| Feb 25, 2023 | 1 | 16:27 | Defensive | Nick Suzuki |
| Feb 25, 2023 | 1 | 14:17 | Neutral | Nick Suzuki |
| Feb 25, 2023 | 1 | 05:37 | Neutral | Nick Suzuki |
| Feb 25, 2023 | 1 | 00:05 | Defensive | Nick Suzuki |
| Jan 31, 2023 | 3 | 18:42 | Neutral | Nick Suzuki |
| Jan 31, 2023 | 3 | 11:47 | Defensive | Nick Suzuki |
| Jan 31, 2023 | 3 | 00:07 | Offensive | Brady Tkachuk |
| Jan 31, 2023 | 2 | 18:46 | Offensive | Nick Suzuki |
| Jan 31, 2023 | 2 | 18:39 | Defensive | Brady Tkachuk |
| Jan 31, 2023 | 2 | 15:48 | Defensive | Nick Suzuki |
| Jan 31, 2023 | 1 | 18:09 | Offensive | Brady Tkachuk |
| Jan 31, 2023 | 1 | 02:57 | Neutral | Nick Suzuki |
| Jan 28, 2023 | 2 | 06:18 | Defensive | Nick Suzuki |
| Jan 28, 2023 | 2 | 04:17 | Defensive | Nick Suzuki |
| Jan 28, 2023 | 1 | 06:47 | Neutral | Brady Tkachuk |
| Dec 14, 2022 | 2 | 00:19 | Offensive | Brady Tkachuk |