Scouting Report
These two are closely matched in overall FO% (51.3% vs 51.6%).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Tkachuk 51.0% vs Suzuki 51.5% (-0.3%)
H2H factor
Not applied (3 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Tkachuk 58.7%
Defensive zone
Suzuki 76.0%
Neutral zone
Suzuki 61.2%
Result
Nick Suzuki favored at 52.9%
47.1%
52.9%
Tkachuk
Suzuki
Head-to-Head Record
2
-
1
(3 meetings)
2
1
Tkachuk
Suzuki
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Tkachuk
2
0
Tkachuk
Suzuki
2 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Suzuki
0
1
Tkachuk
Suzuki
1 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Tkachuk
Suzuki
Edge
Even Strength
51.0% (194)
52.4% (981)
-1.4%
Power Play
51.7% (151)
50.7% (304)
+1.0%
Penalty Kill
50.0% (2)
36.4% (33)
+13.6%
On penalty kill, Tkachuk has a +13.6% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Suzuki shoots right. Tkachuk is 47.3% vs right-shot opponents (129).
Tkachuk shoots left. Suzuki is 52.6% vs left-shot opponents (976).
Home / Away
Tkachuk
Suzuki
Home
50.0% (140)
53.2% (645)
Away
52.2% (207)
50.1% (673)
By Period
Tkachuk
Suzuki
P1
54.3%
48.9%
P2
50.0%
51.5%
P3
49.5%
54.9%
OT
33.3%
25.0%
Final 5 min
51.1%
51.4%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Tkachuk
56.0%▼
60.5%
51.3%
Suzuki
62.0%▲
55.5%
51.6%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 18, 2025 | 1 | 19:01 | Offensive | Brady Tkachuk |
| Mar 18, 2025 | 1 | 12:31 | Offensive | Brady Tkachuk |
| Oct 12, 2024 | 2 | 14:20 | Defensive | Nick Suzuki |