Scouting Report
These two are closely matched in overall FO% (50.1% vs 49.6%). Look for Tkachuk on offensive-zone draws (100% H2H, 3 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Tkachuk 50.1% vs Suzuki 49.6% (+0.5%)
H2H factor
Not applied (8 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Tkachuk 86.4%
Defensive zone
Suzuki 90.6%
Neutral zone
Tkachuk 50.5%
Result
Brady Tkachuk favored at 53.7%
53.7%
46.3%
Tkachuk
Suzuki
Head-to-Head Record
3
-
5
(8 meetings)
3
5
Tkachuk
Suzuki
Last 8: Tkachuk 3-5 Suzuki
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Tkachuk
3
0
Tkachuk
Suzuki
3 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Suzuki
0
2
Tkachuk
Suzuki
2 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Suzuki
0
3
Tkachuk
Suzuki
3 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Tkachuk
Suzuki
Edge
Even Strength
45.4% (183)
50.3% (1,075)
-4.9%
Power Play
53.2% (250)
49.3% (219)
+3.9%
Penalty Kill
100.0% (2)
43.1% (116)
+56.9%
On penalty kill, Tkachuk has a +56.9% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Suzuki shoots right. Tkachuk is 48.0% vs right-shot opponents (198).
Tkachuk shoots left. Suzuki is 48.3% vs left-shot opponents (1,008).
Home / Away
Tkachuk
Suzuki
Home
51.1% (233)
53.6% (711)
Away
49.0% (202)
45.5% (699)
By Period
Tkachuk
Suzuki
P1
42.9%
48.5%
P2
52.2%
51.7%
P3
53.7%
49.0%
OT
50.0%
43.5%
Final 5 min
43.8%
49.0%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Tkachuk
56.0%▼
60.5%
50.1%
Suzuki
62.0%▲
55.5%
49.6%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Apr 23, 2022 | 2 | 13:13 | Offensive | Brady Tkachuk |
| Apr 23, 2022 | 2 | 03:57 | Neutral | Nick Suzuki |
| Apr 23, 2022 | 2 | 03:36 | Offensive | Brady Tkachuk |
| Mar 19, 2022 | 1 | 17:01 | Defensive | Nick Suzuki |
| Feb 26, 2022 | 3 | 05:40 | Offensive | Brady Tkachuk |
| Feb 26, 2022 | 3 | 00:23 | Neutral | Nick Suzuki |
| Feb 26, 2022 | 3 | 00:00 | Neutral | Nick Suzuki |
| Feb 26, 2022 | 2 | 19:37 | Defensive | Nick Suzuki |