Scouting Report
These two are closely matched in overall FO% (52.6% vs 52.6%). Look for Suzuki on defensive-zone draws (100% H2H, 3 meetings). Tkachuk wins 44.2% vs right-shot opponents — Suzuki shoots right.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Tkachuk 52.1% vs Suzuki 52.4% (+0.0%)
H2H factor
Not applied (4 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Tkachuk 76.3%
Defensive zone
Suzuki 86.9%
Neutral zone
Tkachuk 57.3%
Result
Nick Suzuki favored at 75.8%
24.2%
75.8%
Tkachuk
Suzuki
Head-to-Head Record
1
-
3
(4 meetings)
1
3
Tkachuk
Suzuki
Zone Breakdown
Defensive Zone
Edge: Suzuki
0
3
Tkachuk
Suzuki
3 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Tkachuk
1
0
Tkachuk
Suzuki
1 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Tkachuk
Suzuki
Edge
Even Strength
47.9% (192)
51.3% (1,096)
-3.4%
Power Play
57.8% (187)
59.9% (157)
-2.1%
Penalty Kill
0.0% (1)
56.9% (58)
-56.9%
On penalty kill, Suzuki has a +56.9% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Suzuki shoots right. Tkachuk is 44.2% vs right-shot opponents (172).
Tkachuk shoots left. Suzuki is 50.3% vs left-shot opponents (961).
Home / Away
Tkachuk
Suzuki
Home
56.0% (175)
54.2% (638)
Away
49.8% (205)
51.0% (673)
By Period
Tkachuk
Suzuki
P1
55.0%
51.5%
P2
51.9%
53.3%
P3
47.3%
52.4%
OT
77.8%
58.3%
Final 5 min
49.0%
54.9%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Tkachuk
56.0%▼
60.5%
52.6%
Suzuki
62.0%▲
55.5%
52.6%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Apr 13, 2024 | 3 | 13:23 | Defensive | Nick Suzuki |
| Apr 13, 2024 | 3 | 10:56 | Defensive | Nick Suzuki |
| Apr 13, 2024 | 1 | 16:18 | Defensive | Nick Suzuki |
| Apr 13, 2024 | 1 | 13:08 | Neutral | Brady Tkachuk |