Scouting Report
Nico Sturm holds a +2.9% FO% edge overall.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Tkachuk 50.1% vs Sturm 52.5% (-2.9%)
H2H factor
Not applied (1 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Tkachuk 92.4%
Defensive zone
Sturm 91.5%
Neutral zone
Tkachuk 52.8%
Result
Nico Sturm favored at 91.5%
8.5%
91.5%
Tkachuk
Sturm
Head-to-Head Record
0
-
1
(1 meetings)
0
1
Tkachuk
Sturm
Zone Breakdown
Defensive Zone
Edge: Sturm
0
1
Tkachuk
Sturm
1 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Tkachuk
Sturm
Edge
Even Strength
45.4% (183)
54.0% (480)
-8.6%
Power Play
53.2% (250)
28.6% (7)
+24.6%
Penalty Kill
100.0% (2)
50.0% (102)
+50.0%
On penalty kill, Tkachuk has a +50.0% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Sturm shoots left. Tkachuk is 51.9% vs left-shot opponents (237).
Tkachuk shoots left. Sturm is 55.4% vs left-shot opponents (390).
Home / Away
Tkachuk
Sturm
Home
51.1% (233)
54.0% (287)
Away
49.0% (202)
52.0% (302)
By Period
Tkachuk
Sturm
P1
42.9%
53.5%
P2
52.2%
51.0%
P3
53.7%
55.1%
OT
50.0%
20.0%
Final 5 min
43.8%
52.8%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Tkachuk
56.0%▼
60.5%
50.1%
Sturm
52.0%▼
57.5%
53.0%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 2, 2021 | 1 | 10:06 | Defensive | Nico Sturm |