Scouting Report
Nico Sturm holds a +7.5% FO% edge overall. Tkachuk wins 53.7% vs left-shot opponents — Sturm shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Tkachuk 51.0% vs Sturm 57.1% (-7.5%)
Offensive zone
Tkachuk 88.2%
Defensive zone
Sturm 90.3%
Neutral zone
Sturm 62.2%
Result
Nico Sturm favored at 54.8%
45.2%
54.8%
Tkachuk
Sturm
No head-to-head faceoffs recorded
Situation Matchup
Situation
Tkachuk
Sturm
Edge
Even Strength
51.0% (194)
62.1% (356)
-11.1%
Power Play
51.7% (151)
75.0% (4)
-23.3%
Penalty Kill
50.0% (2)
38.7% (62)
+11.3%
On power play, Sturm has a +23.3% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Sturm shoots left. Tkachuk is 53.7% vs left-shot opponents (218).
Tkachuk shoots left. Sturm is 55.9% vs left-shot opponents (279).
Home / Away
Tkachuk
Sturm
Home
50.0% (140)
61.8% (191)
Away
52.2% (207)
56.3% (231)
By Period
Tkachuk
Sturm
P1
54.3%
58.0%
P2
50.0%
57.9%
P3
49.5%
60.6%
Final 5 min
51.1%
58.3%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Tkachuk
56.0%▼
60.5%
51.3%
Sturm
52.0%▼
57.5%
58.8%