Scouting Report
Nico Sturm holds a +7.4% FO% edge overall.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Tkachuk 48.6% vs Sturm 55.2% (-7.4%)
Offensive zone
Tkachuk 93.7%
Defensive zone
Sturm 93.0%
Neutral zone
Sturm 53.2%
Result
Nico Sturm favored at 50.8%
49.2%
50.8%
Tkachuk
Sturm
No head-to-head faceoffs recorded
Situation Matchup
Situation
Tkachuk
Sturm
Edge
Even Strength
47.5% (421)
56.1% (716)
-8.6%
Power Play
50.3% (336)
67.7% (31)
-17.4%
Penalty Kill
12.5% (8)
51.1% (133)
-38.6%
On penalty kill, Sturm has a +38.6% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Sturm shoots left. Tkachuk is 49.6% vs left-shot opponents (421).
Tkachuk shoots left. Sturm is 56.1% vs left-shot opponents (592).
Home / Away
Tkachuk
Sturm
Home
49.9% (389)
55.6% (412)
Away
46.8% (376)
56.0% (468)
By Period
Tkachuk
Sturm
P1
44.4%
59.6%
P2
51.8%
52.0%
P3
47.8%
55.5%
OT
57.1%
60.0%
Final 5 min
44.3%
56.8%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Tkachuk
56.0%▼
60.5%
48.4%
Sturm
52.0%▼
57.5%
55.8%