Brady Tkachuk vs Ryan Nugent-Hopkins
2022-23 · Faceoff Head-to-Head
Scouting Report
Brady Tkachuk holds a +3.2% FO% edge overall.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Tkachuk 48.6% vs Nugent-Hopkins 45.8% (+3.2%)
H2H factor
Not applied (5 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Tkachuk 89.7%
Defensive zone
Nugent-Hopkins 91.5%
Neutral zone
Nugent-Hopkins 53.0%
Result
Ryan Nugent-Hopkins favored at 59.9%
40.1%
59.9%
Tkachuk
Nugent-Hopkins
Head-to-Head Record
2
-
3
(5 meetings)
2
3
Tkachuk
Nugent-Hopkins
Last 5: Tkachuk 2-3 Nugent-Hopkins
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Tkachuk
1
0
Tkachuk
Nugent-Hopkins
1 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Nugent-Hopkins
0
2
Tkachuk
Nugent-Hopkins
2 total
Neutral Zone
Even
1
1
Tkachuk
Nugent-Hopkins
2 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Tkachuk
Nugent-Hopkins
Edge
Even Strength
47.5% (421)
45.4% (527)
+2.1%
Power Play
50.3% (336)
41.2% (17)
+9.1%
Penalty Kill
12.5% (8)
44.9% (138)
-32.4%
On penalty kill, Nugent-Hopkins has a +32.4% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Nugent-Hopkins shoots left. Tkachuk is 49.6% vs left-shot opponents (421).
Tkachuk shoots left. Nugent-Hopkins is 44.6% vs left-shot opponents (451).
Home / Away
Tkachuk
Nugent-Hopkins
Home
49.9% (389)
46.1% (336)
Away
46.8% (376)
44.2% (346)
By Period
Tkachuk
Nugent-Hopkins
P1
44.4%
49.1%
P2
51.8%
45.3%
P3
47.8%
42.0%
OT
57.1%
25.0%
Final 5 min
44.3%
39.6%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Tkachuk
56.0%▼
60.5%
48.4%
Nugent-Hopkins
58.0%▲
50.0%
45.2%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 14, 2023 | 1 | 05:42 | Defensive | Ryan Nugent-Hopkins |
| Feb 11, 2023 | 3 | 11:48 | Defensive | Ryan Nugent-Hopkins |
| Feb 11, 2023 | 3 | 07:24 | Neutral | Brady Tkachuk |
| Feb 11, 2023 | 2 | 07:36 | Neutral | Ryan Nugent-Hopkins |
| Feb 11, 2023 | 2 | 07:26 | Offensive | Brady Tkachuk |