Brady Tkachuk vs Ryan Nugent-Hopkins
2025-26 · Faceoff Head-to-Head
Scouting Report
Brady Tkachuk holds a +10.4% FO% edge overall. Tkachuk wins 62.6% vs left-shot opponents — Nugent-Hopkins shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Tkachuk 56.0% vs Nugent-Hopkins 48.6% (+10.4%)
Offensive zone
Tkachuk 77.1%
Defensive zone
Nugent-Hopkins 80.9%
Neutral zone
Nugent-Hopkins 53.8%
Result
Ryan Nugent-Hopkins favored at 52.5%
47.5%
52.5%
Tkachuk
Nugent-Hopkins
No head-to-head faceoffs recorded
Situation Matchup
Situation
Tkachuk
Nugent-Hopkins
Edge
Even Strength
56.8% (139)
47.6% (231)
+9.2%
Power Play
60.6% (94)
83.3% (12)
-22.7%
Penalty Kill
100.0% (1)
33.3% (21)
+66.7%
On penalty kill, Tkachuk has a +66.7% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Nugent-Hopkins shoots left. Tkachuk is 62.6% vs left-shot opponents (171).
Tkachuk shoots left. Nugent-Hopkins is 49.4% vs left-shot opponents (168).
Home / Away
Tkachuk
Nugent-Hopkins
Home
50.4% (121)
51.2% (164)
Away
67.3% (113)
43.0% (100)
By Period
Tkachuk
Nugent-Hopkins
P1
57.1%
50.0%
P2
60.0%
46.2%
P3
58.3%
49.5%
OT
66.7%
0.0%
Final 5 min
55.3%
44.8%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Tkachuk
56.0%▼
60.5%
58.5%
Nugent-Hopkins
58.0%▲
50.0%
48.1%