Brady Tkachuk vs Ryan Nugent-Hopkins
2024-25 · Faceoff Head-to-Head
Scouting Report
Brady Tkachuk holds a +2.8% FO% edge overall. Tkachuk wins 53.7% vs left-shot opponents — Nugent-Hopkins shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Tkachuk 51.0% vs Nugent-Hopkins 48.7% (+2.8%)
Offensive zone
Tkachuk 82.4%
Defensive zone
Nugent-Hopkins 85.7%
Neutral zone
Nugent-Hopkins 59.6%
Result
Ryan Nugent-Hopkins favored at 54.3%
45.7%
54.3%
Tkachuk
Nugent-Hopkins
No head-to-head faceoffs recorded
Situation Matchup
Situation
Tkachuk
Nugent-Hopkins
Edge
Even Strength
51.0% (194)
50.3% (479)
+0.7%
Power Play
51.7% (151)
50.0% (28)
+1.7%
Penalty Kill
50.0% (2)
30.0% (50)
+20.0%
On penalty kill, Tkachuk has a +20.0% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Nugent-Hopkins shoots left. Tkachuk is 53.7% vs left-shot opponents (218).
Tkachuk shoots left. Nugent-Hopkins is 47.4% vs left-shot opponents (384).
Home / Away
Tkachuk
Nugent-Hopkins
Home
50.0% (140)
48.9% (270)
Away
52.2% (207)
48.1% (287)
By Period
Tkachuk
Nugent-Hopkins
P1
54.3%
48.7%
P2
50.0%
50.0%
P3
49.5%
47.3%
OT
33.3%
36.4%
Final 5 min
51.1%
43.8%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Tkachuk
56.0%▼
60.5%
51.3%
Nugent-Hopkins
58.0%▲
50.0%
48.5%