Brady Tkachuk vs Ryan Nugent-Hopkins
2023-24 · Faceoff Head-to-Head
Scouting Report
Brady Tkachuk holds a +4.6% FO% edge overall. Tkachuk wins 59.6% vs left-shot opponents — Nugent-Hopkins shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Tkachuk 52.1% vs Nugent-Hopkins 48.3% (+4.6%)
Offensive zone
Tkachuk 80.4%
Defensive zone
Nugent-Hopkins 90.9%
Neutral zone
Nugent-Hopkins 51.0%
Result
Ryan Nugent-Hopkins favored at 53.8%
46.2%
53.8%
Tkachuk
Nugent-Hopkins
No head-to-head faceoffs recorded
Situation Matchup
Situation
Tkachuk
Nugent-Hopkins
Edge
Even Strength
47.9% (192)
51.0% (408)
-3.1%
Power Play
57.8% (187)
0.0% (6)
+57.8%
Penalty Kill
0.0% (1)
35.9% (78)
-35.9%
On power play, Tkachuk has a +57.8% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Nugent-Hopkins shoots left. Tkachuk is 59.6% vs left-shot opponents (208).
Tkachuk shoots left. Nugent-Hopkins is 49.9% vs left-shot opponents (339).
Home / Away
Tkachuk
Nugent-Hopkins
Home
56.0% (175)
50.8% (258)
Away
49.8% (205)
44.9% (234)
By Period
Tkachuk
Nugent-Hopkins
P1
55.0%
51.6%
P2
51.9%
45.2%
P3
47.3%
47.6%
OT
77.8%
40.0%
Final 5 min
49.0%
47.4%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Tkachuk
56.0%▼
60.5%
52.6%
Nugent-Hopkins
58.0%▲
50.0%
48.0%