Brady Tkachuk vs Ryan Nugent-Hopkins
All Seasons · Faceoff Head-to-Head
Scouting Report
Brady Tkachuk holds a +5.4% FO% edge overall. Look for Tkachuk on offensive-zone draws (100% H2H, 4 meetings). Tkachuk wins 54.1% vs left-shot opponents — Nugent-Hopkins shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Tkachuk 50.1% vs Nugent-Hopkins 44.8% (+5.4%)
H2H factor
Nugent-Hopkins leads 5-5 in 10 meetings
Offensive zone
Tkachuk 93.0%
Defensive zone
Nugent-Hopkins 80.5%
Neutral zone
Nugent-Hopkins 50.4%
Result
Brady Tkachuk favored at 57.9%
57.9%
42.1%
Tkachuk
Nugent-Hopkins
Head-to-Head Record
5
-
5
(10 meetings)
5
5
Tkachuk
Nugent-Hopkins
Last 10: Tkachuk 5-5 Nugent-Hopkins
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Tkachuk
4
0
Tkachuk
Nugent-Hopkins
4 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Nugent-Hopkins
0
3
Tkachuk
Nugent-Hopkins
3 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Nugent-Hopkins
1
2
Tkachuk
Nugent-Hopkins
3 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Tkachuk
Nugent-Hopkins
Edge
Even Strength
49.0% (1,560)
44.9% (8,756)
+4.1%
Power Play
51.4% (1,291)
50.7% (839)
+0.7%
Penalty Kill
45.0% (20)
37.9% (879)
+7.1%
On penalty kill, Tkachuk has a +7.1% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Nugent-Hopkins shoots left. Tkachuk is 54.1% vs left-shot opponents (1,653).
Tkachuk shoots left. Nugent-Hopkins is 44.7% vs left-shot opponents (6,841).
Home / Away
Tkachuk
Nugent-Hopkins
Home
50.7% (1,428)
46.5% (5,350)
Away
49.5% (1,443)
42.9% (5,136)
By Period
Tkachuk
Nugent-Hopkins
P1
49.4%
45.1%
P2
51.3%
43.9%
P3
49.3%
45.3%
OT
57.1%
43.5%
Final 5 min
46.9%
43.7%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Tkachuk
56.0%▼
60.5%
50.1%
Nugent-Hopkins
58.0%▲
50.0%
44.7%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 14, 2023 | 1 | 05:42 | Defensive | Ryan Nugent-Hopkins |
| Feb 11, 2023 | 3 | 11:48 | Defensive | Ryan Nugent-Hopkins |
| Feb 11, 2023 | 3 | 07:24 | Neutral | Brady Tkachuk |
| Feb 11, 2023 | 2 | 07:36 | Neutral | Ryan Nugent-Hopkins |
| Feb 11, 2023 | 2 | 07:26 | Offensive | Brady Tkachuk |
| Mar 10, 2021 | 2 | 09:28 | Offensive | Brady Tkachuk |
| Feb 8, 2021 | 3 | 00:31 | Neutral | Ryan Nugent-Hopkins |
| Feb 2, 2021 | 3 | 11:32 | Offensive | Brady Tkachuk |
| Jan 31, 2021 | 3 | 13:58 | Offensive | Brady Tkachuk |
| Jan 31, 2021 | 3 | 06:24 | Defensive | Ryan Nugent-Hopkins |