Brady Tkachuk vs Steven Stamkos
All Seasons · Faceoff Head-to-Head
Scouting Report
These two are closely matched in overall FO% (50.1% vs 51.0%). Look for Stamkos on defensive-zone draws (92% H2H, 13 meetings). Tkachuk wins 44.6% vs right-shot opponents — Stamkos shoots right.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Tkachuk 50.1% vs Stamkos 51.0% (-0.9%)
H2H factor
Stamkos leads 16-13 in 29 meetings
Offensive zone
Tkachuk 92.4%
Defensive zone
Stamkos 60.2%
Neutral zone
Tkachuk 54.9%
Result
Brady Tkachuk favored at 63.7%
63.7%
36.3%
Tkachuk
Stamkos
Head-to-Head Record
13
-
16
(29 meetings)
13
16
Tkachuk
Stamkos
Last 10: Tkachuk 3-7 Stamkos
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Tkachuk
11
1
Tkachuk
Stamkos
12 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Stamkos
1
12
Tkachuk
Stamkos
13 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Stamkos
1
3
Tkachuk
Stamkos
4 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Tkachuk
Stamkos
Edge
Even Strength
49.0% (1,560)
50.4% (9,799)
-1.4%
Power Play
51.4% (1,291)
55.1% (1,725)
-3.7%
Penalty Kill
45.0% (20)
49.7% (825)
-4.7%
On penalty kill, Stamkos has a +4.7% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Stamkos shoots right. Tkachuk is 44.6% vs right-shot opponents (1,218).
Tkachuk shoots left. Stamkos is 52.1% vs left-shot opponents (8,778).
Home / Away
Tkachuk
Stamkos
Home
50.7% (1,428)
52.7% (6,248)
Away
49.5% (1,443)
49.3% (6,127)
By Period
Tkachuk
Stamkos
P1
49.4%
49.1%
P2
51.3%
52.7%
P3
49.3%
50.9%
OT
57.1%
54.3%
Final 5 min
46.9%
52.1%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Tkachuk
56.0%▼
60.5%
50.1%
Stamkos
54.0%▬
55.0%
51.0%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Dec 7, 2024 | 3 | 02:06 | Offensive | Brady Tkachuk |
| Apr 11, 2024 | 3 | 12:09 | Defensive | Steven Stamkos |
| Apr 11, 2024 | 2 | 10:51 | Defensive | Steven Stamkos |
| Apr 11, 2024 | 1 | 18:18 | Offensive | Brady Tkachuk |
| Apr 11, 2024 | 1 | 11:03 | Defensive | Steven Stamkos |
| Apr 11, 2024 | 1 | 07:58 | Neutral | Steven Stamkos |
| Apr 8, 2023 | 3 | 01:26 | Offensive | Brady Tkachuk |
| Apr 8, 2023 | 2 | 09:58 | Defensive | Steven Stamkos |
| Apr 8, 2023 | 2 | 09:54 | Defensive | Steven Stamkos |
| Apr 8, 2023 | 1 | 15:44 | Defensive | Steven Stamkos |
| Nov 1, 2022 | 3 | 06:47 | Defensive | Steven Stamkos |
| Nov 1, 2022 | 2 | 04:25 | Offensive | Brady Tkachuk |
| Mar 1, 2022 | 2 | 17:36 | Defensive | Steven Stamkos |
| Mar 1, 2022 | 2 | 12:02 | Offensive | Brady Tkachuk |
| Mar 1, 2022 | 1 | 06:07 | Offensive | Brady Tkachuk |
| Dec 11, 2021 | 3 | 03:49 | Defensive | Steven Stamkos |
| Dec 11, 2021 | 2 | 14:09 | Defensive | Brady Tkachuk |
| Dec 11, 2021 | 2 | 03:05 | Offensive | Brady Tkachuk |
| Dec 11, 2021 | 1 | 07:07 | Offensive | Brady Tkachuk |
| Nov 6, 2021 | 3 | 09:07 | Defensive | Steven Stamkos |