Brady Tkachuk vs Steven Stamkos

All Seasons · Faceoff Head-to-Head
Scouting Report

These two are closely matched in overall FO% (50.1% vs 51.0%). Look for Stamkos on defensive-zone draws (92% H2H, 13 meetings). Tkachuk wins 44.6% vs right-shot opponents — Stamkos shoots right.

Prediction Breakdown
Model XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian) Tkachuk 50.1% vs Stamkos 51.0% (-0.9%)
H2H factor Stamkos leads 16-13 in 29 meetings
Offensive zone Tkachuk 92.4%
Defensive zone Stamkos 60.2%
Neutral zone Tkachuk 54.9%
Result Brady Tkachuk favored at 63.7%
63.7%
36.3%
Tkachuk Stamkos
Head-to-Head Record
13 - 16 (29 meetings)
13
16
Tkachuk Stamkos
Last 10: Tkachuk 3-7 Stamkos

Zone Breakdown

Offensive Zone
Edge: Tkachuk
11
1
Tkachuk Stamkos
12 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Stamkos
1
12
Tkachuk Stamkos
13 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Stamkos
1
3
Tkachuk Stamkos
4 total

Situation Matchup

Situation
Tkachuk
Stamkos
Edge
Even Strength
49.0% (1,560)
50.4% (9,799)
-1.4%
Power Play
51.4% (1,291)
55.1% (1,725)
-3.7%
Penalty Kill
45.0% (20)
49.7% (825)
-4.7%
On penalty kill, Stamkos has a +4.7% edge.

Handedness & Splits

Handedness
Stamkos shoots right. Tkachuk is 44.6% vs right-shot opponents (1,218).
Tkachuk shoots left. Stamkos is 52.1% vs left-shot opponents (8,778).
Home / Away
Tkachuk
Stamkos
Home
50.7% (1,428)
52.7% (6,248)
Away
49.5% (1,443)
49.3% (6,127)
By Period
Tkachuk
Stamkos
P1
49.4%
49.1%
P2
51.3%
52.7%
P3
49.3%
50.9%
OT
57.1%
54.3%
Final 5 min
46.9%
52.1%

Recent Form

Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Tkachuk
56.0%
60.5%
50.1%
Stamkos
54.0%
55.0%
51.0%

Recent Faceoffs

Date Period Time Zone Winner
Dec 7, 2024 3 02:06 Offensive Brady Tkachuk
Apr 11, 2024 3 12:09 Defensive Steven Stamkos
Apr 11, 2024 2 10:51 Defensive Steven Stamkos
Apr 11, 2024 1 18:18 Offensive Brady Tkachuk
Apr 11, 2024 1 11:03 Defensive Steven Stamkos
Apr 11, 2024 1 07:58 Neutral Steven Stamkos
Apr 8, 2023 3 01:26 Offensive Brady Tkachuk
Apr 8, 2023 2 09:58 Defensive Steven Stamkos
Apr 8, 2023 2 09:54 Defensive Steven Stamkos
Apr 8, 2023 1 15:44 Defensive Steven Stamkos
Nov 1, 2022 3 06:47 Defensive Steven Stamkos
Nov 1, 2022 2 04:25 Offensive Brady Tkachuk
Mar 1, 2022 2 17:36 Defensive Steven Stamkos
Mar 1, 2022 2 12:02 Offensive Brady Tkachuk
Mar 1, 2022 1 06:07 Offensive Brady Tkachuk
Dec 11, 2021 3 03:49 Defensive Steven Stamkos
Dec 11, 2021 2 14:09 Defensive Brady Tkachuk
Dec 11, 2021 2 03:05 Offensive Brady Tkachuk
Dec 11, 2021 1 07:07 Offensive Brady Tkachuk
Nov 6, 2021 3 09:07 Defensive Steven Stamkos